Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kamil Majchrzak v Gael Monfils

2026-08-02 14:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kamil Majchrzak (Local)

Prediction 71.83%1.39fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -6.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.51%71.83%71.74%72.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.361.3676.92%74.53%73.53%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gael Monfils (Visit)

Prediction 28.17%3.55fair odd
EV -0.838%
Edge -0.238%
Kelly -0.333%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.39%28.17%28.26%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.233.103.5232.26%30.95%32.26%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kamil Majchrzak (Local): 71.83%; Gael Monfils (Visit): 28.17%. For Gael Monfils (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.52, with an expected value of -0.838%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.31%E -1.70%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.67%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 16:04
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.31%E -1.70%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.67%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 16:05
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.31%E -1.70%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.67%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 16:05
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.31%E -1.70%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.67%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 16:05
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.31%E -1.70%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.67%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 16:05
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.31%E -1.70%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.67%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 16:05
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.31%E -1.70%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.67%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 16:05
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.31%E -1.70%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.67%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 16:05
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.31%E -1.70%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.67%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 16:05
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.31%E -1.70%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.67%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 16:05
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.31%E -1.70%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.67%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.31%E -1.70%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.67%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 17:14
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.75%E -2.80%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -1.40%E -0.400%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 17:25
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.58%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.42%EV -0.838%E -0.238%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-01 16:00
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -2.53%E -0.731%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 20:29
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -2.53%E -0.731%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 20:30
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.47%E -3.36%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 16:14
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.19%E -3.93%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.40%E -0.400%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 16:15
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.90%E -4.51%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.63%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 17:24
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.90%E -4.51%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 16:15
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.62%E -5.09%K -22.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 16:15
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.62%E -5.09%K -22.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 16:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 72.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.88%0.5%2026-08-01 22:00