Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Kamil Majchrzak v Gael Monfils

Inizio: 2026-08-04 02:10 UTC

Finale: Kamil Majchrzak 0–2 Gael Monfils

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

65 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Kamil Majchrzak (Casa)

Previsione 73.63%1.36quota equa
EV -2.07%
Vantaggio -1.56%
Kelly -6.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.96%73.51%73.62%75.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.49%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Gael Monfils (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.37%3.79quota equa
EV -0.067%
Vantaggio -0.018%
Kelly -0.024%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.00%26.49%26.38%29.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.553.603.7930.77%28.15%27.78%26.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Kamil Majchrzak (Casa): 73.63%; Gael Monfils (Trasferta): 26.37%. Per Gael Monfils (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.793. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.790, con un valore atteso del -0.067%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.07%E -1.56%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -14.31%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 23:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.81%E -2.13%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -2.81%E -2.13%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%EV -10.61%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 02:05
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.31%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.69%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-04 02:09
Coolbet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 05:14
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 09:30
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -6.92%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 02:00
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 09:29
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -11.67%E -3.48%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 20:05
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 02:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 02:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.23%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.23%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 02:05
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 01:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 02:04
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 02:04
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -5.87%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 00:45
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.67%E -3.48%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.67%E -3.48%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 14:19
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.99%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 22:59
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.44%E -0.659%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.44%E -0.659%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 02:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:45
Casumo🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:44
Grosvenor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:45
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:45
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:45
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:44
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:44
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:44
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 14:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 02:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -5.60%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 01:34
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.39%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 02:04
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.39%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 02:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 02:05
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 02:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 02:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 02:04
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 13:54
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 02:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 01:05
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.31%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 22:58
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.31%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 23:34
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -5.75%E -4.49%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -1.65%E -0.442%K -0.604%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 22:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.75%E -4.49%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 02:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.75%E -4.49%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 14:20
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.75%E -4.49%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.76%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 02:03
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.39%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 02:05
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.39%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 02:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 18:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 20:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 13:49
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.22%E -5.73%K -27.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 16:59
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.22%E -5.73%K -27.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 02:05
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.96%E -6.37%K -31.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 22:55
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.96%E -6.37%K -31.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 22:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-08-04 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-08-04 02:00
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-08-04 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-08-04 02:00
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-08-04 02:05
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-08-04 02:05
ProphetX1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%2.3%2026-08-04 02:05