Langue:Français
Kamil Majchrzak v Gael Monfils
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Kamil Majchrzak (Local)
Prévision 73.63%1.36cote équitable
EV -2.07%
Avantage -1.56%
Kelly -6.27%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.96%73.51%73.62%75.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.49%77.52%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Gael Monfils (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.37%3.79cote équitable
EV -0.067%
Avantage -0.018%
Kelly -0.024%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.79
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.00%26.49%26.38%29.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.553.603.7930.77%28.15%27.78%26.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kamil Majchrzak (Local) : 73.63% ; Gael Monfils (Visiteur) : 26.37%. Pour Gael Monfils (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.793. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.790, pour une espérance de -0.067% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.07%E -1.56%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -14.31%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 23:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.81%E -2.13%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -2.81%E -2.13%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%EV -10.61%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.31%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.69%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-04 02:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 05:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 09:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -6.92%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 02:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -11.67%E -3.48%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 02:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.23%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.23%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 01:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 02:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 02:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -5.87%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.67%E -3.48%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.67%E -3.48%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 14:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.99%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.44%E -0.659%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.44%E -0.659%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 14:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -5.60%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 01:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.39%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 02:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.39%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 02:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 02:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 02:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 02:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.31%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 22:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.31%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 23:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -5.75%E -4.49%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -1.65%E -0.442%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.75%E -4.49%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 02:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.75%E -4.49%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.75%E -4.49%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.76%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 02:03 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.39%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.39%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-03 18:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-03 20:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 13:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.22%E -5.73%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 16:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.22%E -5.73%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.96%E -6.37%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 22:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.96%E -6.37%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 22:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 02:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 02:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |