Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kamil Majchrzak v Gael Monfils

Início: 2026-08-04 02:10 UTC

Final: Kamil Majchrzak 0–2 Gael Monfils

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kamil Majchrzak (Local)

Previsão 73.63%1.36odd justa
EV -2.07%
Vantagem -1.56%
Kelly -6.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.96%73.51%73.62%75.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.49%77.52%75.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Gael Monfils (Visitante)

Previsão 26.37%3.79odd justa
EV -0.067%
Vantagem -0.018%
Kelly -0.024%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.00%26.49%26.38%29.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.553.603.7930.77%28.15%27.78%26.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kamil Majchrzak (Local): 73.63%; Gael Monfils (Visitante): 26.37%. Para Gael Monfils (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.793. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.790, com valor esperado de -0.067%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.07%E -1.56%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -14.31%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 23:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.81%E -2.13%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -2.81%E -2.13%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%EV -10.61%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 02:05
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.31%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.69%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-04 02:09
Coolbet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 05:14
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 09:30
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -6.92%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 02:00
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 09:29
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -11.67%E -3.48%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 20:05
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 02:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 02:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.23%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.23%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 02:05
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 01:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 02:04
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 02:04
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -5.87%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 00:45
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.67%E -3.48%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.67%E -3.48%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 14:19
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.99%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 22:59
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.44%E -0.659%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.44%E -0.659%K -0.904%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 02:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:45
Casumo🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:44
Grosvenor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:45
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:45
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:45
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:44
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:44
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:44
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 14:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 02:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -5.60%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 01:34
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.39%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 02:04
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.39%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 02:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 02:05
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 02:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 02:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 02:04
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 13:54
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 02:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 01:05
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.31%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 22:58
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.31%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 23:34
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -5.75%E -4.49%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -1.65%E -0.442%K -0.604%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 22:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.75%E -4.49%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 02:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.75%E -4.49%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 14:20
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.75%E -4.49%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.76%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 02:03
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.39%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 02:05
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.39%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 02:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 18:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 20:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 13:49
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.22%E -5.73%K -27.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 16:59
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.22%E -5.73%K -27.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 02:05
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.96%E -6.37%K -31.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 22:55
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.96%E -6.37%K -31.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 22:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-08-04 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-08-04 02:00
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-08-04 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-08-04 02:00
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-08-04 02:05
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-08-04 02:05
ProphetX1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%2.3%2026-08-04 02:05