Язык:Русский
Kamil Majchrzak v Gael Monfils
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Kamil Majchrzak (Хозяева)
Прогноз 73.63%1.36справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.07%
Преимущество -1.56%
Kelly -6.27%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.33
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
70.96%73.51%73.62%75.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.49%77.52%75.19%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Gael Monfils (Гости)
Прогноз 26.37%3.79справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.067%
Преимущество -0.018%
Kelly -0.024%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.79
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.00%26.49%26.38%29.04%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.553.603.7930.77%28.15%27.78%26.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Kamil Majchrzak (Хозяева): 73.63%; Gael Monfils (Гости): 26.37%. Для исхода «Gael Monfils (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.793. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.790, математическое ожидание — -0.067%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.07%E -1.56%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -14.31%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 23:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.81%E -2.13%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%EV -2.81%E -2.13%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%EV -10.61%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.31%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.69%EV -0.067%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-04 02:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 05:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 09:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -6.92%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 02:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 09:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -3.54%E -2.70%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -11.67%E -3.48%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 02:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.23%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.23%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 01:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 02:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 02:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -5.87%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.67%E -3.48%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -11.67%E -3.48%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 14:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.28%E -3.29%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.99%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.44%E -0.659%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.44%E -0.659%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 14:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -5.60%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 01:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.39%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 02:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.39%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 02:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 02:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 02:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 02:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.31%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 22:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.01%E -3.89%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.31%E -4.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 23:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.45%EV -5.75%E -4.49%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -1.65%E -0.442%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.75%E -4.49%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 02:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.75%E -4.49%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.75%E -4.49%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.76%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 02:03 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.39%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.39%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-03 18:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-03 20:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.49%E -5.11%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 13:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.22%E -5.73%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 16:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.22%E -5.73%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.96%E -6.37%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.12%E -0.299%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 22:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.96%E -6.37%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.08%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 22:55 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 02:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 02:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 02:05 |