Language:English
Jiri Lehecka v Rafael Jodar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Prediction 45.60%2.19fair odd
EV +0.310%
Edge +0.141%
Kelly +0.258%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.73%45.59%45.56%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.082.2050.00%48.12%48.08%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rafael Jodar (Visit)
Prediction 54.40%1.84fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%54.41%54.44%56.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.741.8059.88%57.48%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 45.60%; Rafael Jodar (Visit): 54.40%. For Jiri Lehecka (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.310%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.310%E +0.141%K +0.258%G +0.001% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.97%E -4.07%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.310%E +0.141%K +0.258%G +0.001% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.97%E -4.07%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.62%E -1.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.34%E -1.57%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.34%E -1.57%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 00:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 00:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-08 20:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-08 21:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 23:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 00:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 21:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 21:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 00:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 00:18 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 21:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 21:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 21:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 21:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.97%E -4.07%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.71%E -2.25%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:13 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 22:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 19:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 21:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 00:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.99%E -3.42%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 00:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -6.99%E -3.42%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.97%E -4.07%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 22:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.90%E -3.91%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 19:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.90%E -3.91%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 19:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.81%E -4.40%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 04:06 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.81%E -4.40%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 19:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.81%E -4.40%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 19:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -8.81%E -4.40%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.14%E -5.48%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 00:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 00:20 |