Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jiri Lehecka v Rafael Jodar

Inizio: 2026-08-09 00:21 UTC

Finale: Jiri Lehecka 0–2 Rafael Jodar

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

59 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jiri Lehecka (Casa)

Previsione 45.60%2.19quota equa
EV +0.310%
Vantaggio +0.141%
Kelly +0.258%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.73%45.59%45.56%46.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.082.082.2050.00%48.12%48.08%45.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Rafael Jodar (Trasferta)

Previsione 54.40%1.84quota equa
EV -2.07%
Vantaggio -1.15%
Kelly -2.59%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.05%54.41%54.44%56.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.741.741.8059.88%57.48%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Jiri Lehecka (Casa): 45.60%; Rafael Jodar (Trasferta): 54.40%. Per Jiri Lehecka (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.19. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.20, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.310%.

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.310%E +0.141%K +0.258%G +0.001%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.97%E -4.07%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.310%E +0.141%K +0.258%G +0.001%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.97%E -4.07%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 00:20
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.62%E -1.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 00:20
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.34%E -1.57%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 21:45
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.34%E -1.57%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 00:19
GTbets🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 00:15
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.07%E -1.15%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 20:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 21:29
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 23:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.25%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 21:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 21:25
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 00:20
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 00:19
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 21:45
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 21:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 22:14
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 00:19
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 00:18
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 21:44
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 21:45
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 21:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 21:40
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.25%E -2.02%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.97%E -4.07%K -9.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.71%E -2.25%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 21:25
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 00:20
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 22:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 22:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 22:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 22:15
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 22:13
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 22:15
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 22:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 22:14
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 22:14
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 22:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 22:15
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 22:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.16%E -2.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 22:15
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 00:20
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 00:20
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 00:20
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 00:20
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 00:20
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 19:49
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 21:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 00:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 00:15
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 00:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 00:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.99%E -3.42%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 00:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -6.99%E -3.42%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.97%E -4.07%K -9.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 22:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.90%E -3.91%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 19:49
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.90%E -3.91%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.79%E -2.74%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 19:45
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.81%E -4.40%K -8.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 04:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.81%E -4.40%K -8.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 19:49
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.81%E -4.40%K -8.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.88%E -3.40%K -8.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 19:49
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -8.81%E -4.40%K -8.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.14%E -5.48%K -13.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 00:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-08-09 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-08-09 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-08-09 00:20
Novig◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-08-09 00:20
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-08-09 00:20
ProphetX◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-08-09 00:20
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-08-09 00:20