StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jiri Lehecka v Rafael Jodar

2026-08-08 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jiri Lehecka (Heim)

Prognose 44.06%2.27faire Quote
EV -0.432%
Vorteil -0.191%
Kelly -0.343%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.26

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.16%43.94%44.10%45.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.002.172.202.2650.00%46.17%45.45%44.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Rafael Jodar (Auswärts)

Prognose 55.94%1.79faire Quote
EV -3.22%
Vorteil -1.86%
Kelly -4.41%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.73

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.38%56.06%55.90%57.84%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.601.671.661.7362.50%60.04%60.24%57.80%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Jiri Lehecka (Heim): 44.06%; Rafael Jodar (Auswärts): 55.94%. Für Jiri Lehecka (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.27. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.26, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.432%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
GTbets🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -0.432%E -0.191%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 05:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 06:30
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:36
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:36
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:36
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:36
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:36
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:40
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:40
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:41
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:41
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:41
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:40
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.31%E -0.586%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 07:19
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.19%E -0.989%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 07:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -2.64%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -7.13%E -4.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 07:20
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.46%E -3.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 07:11
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 07:10
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 07:11
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 07:11
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 07:10
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 07:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.13%E -4.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 07:24
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 07:05
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.37%E -5.78%K -15.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 07:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.93%E -6.17%K -16.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 05:40
NordicBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.40%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.90%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 07:19
Betsson🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.40%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.90%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 07:20
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.46%E -3.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 07:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 07:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 07:20
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 07:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -7.04%E -3.34%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 07:20
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 07:10
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 07:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 07:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 07:10
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.34%E -2.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 07:15
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.90%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 07:19
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.46%E -3.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 07:20
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 07:17
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 07:18
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 07:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 07:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.68%E -4.72%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.78%E -2.20%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 07:16
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.68%E -4.72%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.78%E -2.20%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 07:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.68%E -4.72%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.90%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 07:15
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.68%E -4.72%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.90%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 07:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.68%E -4.72%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -8.81%E -5.41%K -13.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 07:19
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.68%E -4.72%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -8.81%E -5.41%K -13.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 07:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.93%E -6.17%K -16.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 07:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.49%E -6.56%K -17.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-07 07:19
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%3.9%2026-08-07 07:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%5.9%2026-08-07 07:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%9.0%2026-08-07 07:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%9.3%2026-08-07 07:25
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%11.0%2026-08-07 07:50