Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jiri Lehecka v Rafael Jodar

2026-08-08 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Prévision 44.06%2.27cote équitable
EV -0.432%
Avantage -0.191%
Kelly -0.343%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.16%43.94%44.10%45.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.202.2650.00%46.17%45.45%44.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Rafael Jodar (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.94%1.79cote équitable
EV -3.22%
Avantage -1.86%
Kelly -4.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.38%56.06%55.90%57.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.671.661.7362.50%60.04%60.24%57.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Jiri Lehecka (Local) : 44.06% ; Rafael Jodar (Visiteur) : 55.94%. Pour Jiri Lehecka (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.27. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.26, pour une espérance de -0.432% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -0.432%E -0.191%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 05:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 06:30
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:36
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:36
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:36
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:36
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:36
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:40
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:40
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:41
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:41
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:41
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.873%E -0.388%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:40
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.31%E -0.586%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 07:19
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.19%E -0.989%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 07:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -2.64%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -7.13%E -4.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 07:20
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.46%E -3.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 07:11
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 07:10
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 07:11
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 07:11
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 07:10
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 07:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.13%E -4.30%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 07:24
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 07:05
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.37%E -5.78%K -15.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 07:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.93%E -6.17%K -16.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 05:40
NordicBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.40%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.90%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 07:19
Betsson🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.40%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.90%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 07:20
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.46%E -3.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 07:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 07:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 07:20
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 07:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -7.04%E -3.34%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 07:20
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 07:10
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 07:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 07:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 07:10
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.34%E -2.54%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 07:15
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.90%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 07:19
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.46%E -3.23%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 07:20
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 07:17
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 07:18
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 07:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 07:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.68%E -4.72%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.78%E -2.20%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 07:16
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.68%E -4.72%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.78%E -2.20%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 07:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.68%E -4.72%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.90%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 07:15
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.68%E -4.72%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.90%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 07:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.68%E -4.72%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -8.81%E -5.41%K -13.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 07:19
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.68%E -4.72%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -8.81%E -5.41%K -13.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 07:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.93%E -6.17%K -16.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 07:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.89%E -5.94%K -11.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.49%E -6.56%K -17.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-07 07:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%3.9%2026-08-07 07:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%5.9%2026-08-07 07:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%9.0%2026-08-07 07:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%9.3%2026-08-07 07:25
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%11.0%2026-08-07 07:50