Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.53
assuming max odds 2.98
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 65.12%; Alexander Blockx (Visit): 34.88%. For Alexander Blockx (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.93%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV +3.93%E +1.32%K +1.99%G +0.078% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV +1.84%E +0.631%K +0.959%G +0.018% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -0.251%E -0.088%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -0.251%E -0.088%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.97%E -1.99%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -0.949%E -0.334%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-06 21:41 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.949%E -0.334%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -1.30%E -0.458%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 19:26 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.97%E -1.99%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.34%E -0.837%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.34%E -0.837%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-06 21:51 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.34%E -0.837%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 19:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -2.69%E -0.965%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 16:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.92%E -3.37%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 21:51 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 18:41 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 19:46 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 21:51 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 21:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 21:51 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 21:51 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 21:51 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 19:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -6.88%E -2.58%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 21:51 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.92%E -3.37%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:51 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.92%E -3.37%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 19:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 20:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 21:21 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.32%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.32%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.32%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.32%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.32%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 09:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 09:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 09:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 09:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 09:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 09:53 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.362%E -0.237%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -12.81%E -5.12%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.81%E -5.12%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 21:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -12.81%E -5.12%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 11:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-08-06 21:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-08-06 21:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-06 21:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-06 21:41 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.74% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 33.26% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 21:51 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.4% | 2026-08-06 21:51 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.0% | 2026-08-06 21:51 |