Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jiri Lehecka v Alexander Blockx

2026-08-06 15:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Prévision 62.38%1.60cote équitable
EV -3.31%
Avantage -2.14%
Kelly -6.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.26%62.56%62.41%65.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.431.491.501.5569.93%67.14%66.89%64.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Alexander Blockx (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.62%2.66cote équitable
EV +1.58%
Avantage +0.583%
Kelly +0.927%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.94%37.44%37.59%39.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.562.552.7042.55%39.09%39.22%37.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Jiri Lehecka (Local) : 62.38% ; Alexander Blockx (Visiteur) : 37.62%. Pour Alexander Blockx (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.66. 15 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.70, pour une espérance positive de +1.58%.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -8.93%E -6.11%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%5.5%2026-08-05 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -8.93%E -6.11%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%5.5%2026-08-05 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:05
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:05
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:05
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:05
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:05
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:05
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:05
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 11:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -10.80%E -7.55%K -25.11%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -1.06%E -0.402%K -0.649%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 10:05
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.94%E -2.56%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.43%E -0.547%K -0.885%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-05 10:10
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -1.81%E -0.694%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 11:24
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.19%E -0.841%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 10:10
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.81%E -3.85%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.94%E -1.14%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 15:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -2.94%E -1.14%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 11:25
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.07%E -1.60%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 15:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.07%E -1.60%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 10:10
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 10:24
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 09:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 10:09
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 10:10
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 10:10
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 10:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 10:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.70%E -2.70%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 10:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.31%E -2.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.83%E -3.20%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:55
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.83%E -3.20%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 11:20
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.20%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 10:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.05%E -4.73%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.83%E -3.20%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 10:10
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.05%E -4.73%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.83%E -3.20%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 15:15
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.20%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 15:15
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.31%E -2.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.71%E -4.05%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:55
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.71%E -4.05%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.71%E -4.05%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 11:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.71%E -4.05%K -6.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-05 10:55
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.31%E -2.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.59%E -4.93%K -8.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 11:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.31%E -2.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.59%E -4.93%K -8.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 11:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -11.59%E -4.93%K -8.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-05 10:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%6.2%2026-08-05 15:20
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 61.98%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%10.5%2026-08-05 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.61%2.14I 46.73%NM 40.39%15.7%2026-08-05 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.61%2.14I 46.73%NM 40.39%15.7%2026-08-05 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 46.89%1.28I 78.13%NM 53.11%47.1%2026-08-05 15:15