Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jiri Lehecka v Alexander Blockx

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-06 22:00 UTC

Score final : Jiri Lehecka 2–0 Alexander Blockx

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Prévision 65.12%1.54cote équitable
EV -0.362%
Avantage -0.237%
Kelly -0.683%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.03%65.06%65.27%67.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.471.471.5371.43%68.15%68.03%65.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Alexander Blockx (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.88%2.87cote équitable
EV +3.93%
Avantage +1.32%
Kelly +1.99%
Croissance +0.078%

avec la cote maximale 2.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.27%34.94%34.73%37.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.682.702.9840.00%37.35%37.04%33.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jiri Lehecka (Local) : 65.12% ; Alexander Blockx (Visiteur) : 34.88%. Pour Alexander Blockx (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.87. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.98, soit une espérance positive de +3.93%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV +3.93%E +1.32%K +1.99%G +0.078%4.0%2026-08-06 21:40
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV +1.84%E +0.631%K +0.959%G +0.018%4.7%2026-08-06 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -0.251%E -0.088%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 19:56
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -0.251%E -0.088%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 19:56
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.97%E -1.99%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -0.949%E -0.334%K -0.516%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 21:41
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.949%E -0.334%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 19:25
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -1.30%E -0.458%K -0.709%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 19:26
Coolbet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.97%E -1.99%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.34%E -0.837%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.34%E -0.837%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-06 21:51
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.34%E -0.837%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 19:25
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -2.69%E -0.965%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 16:10
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 21:44
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 21:50
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 21:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.92%E -3.37%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 21:51
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 21:50
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 18:41
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 19:46
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 21:51
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 21:50
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 19:56
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 21:51
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 21:51
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 21:51
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 21:51
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 21:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 21:45
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 21:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -6.88%E -2.58%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 21:40
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 21:51
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.92%E -3.37%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 19:51
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.92%E -3.37%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 19:45
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 21:50
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 20:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 21:21
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.32%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 21:50
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.32%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 21:50
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.32%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 21:20
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.32%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 21:50
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.32%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:54
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:54
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:54
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:53
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.362%E -0.237%K -0.683%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -12.81%E -5.12%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 10:24
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.81%E -5.12%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 21:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -12.81%E -5.12%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 11:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-08-06 21:51
Matchbook◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-08-06 21:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-08-06 21:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-08-06 21:41
Novig◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.74%2.99I 33.44%NM 33.26%0.6%2026-08-06 21:51
ProphetX◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.4%2026-08-06 21:51
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-08-06 21:51