StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jiri Lehecka v Alexander Blockx

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-06 22:00 UTC

Endstand: Jiri Lehecka 2–0 Alexander Blockx

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jiri Lehecka (Heim)

Prognose 65.12%1.54faire Quote
EV -0.362%
Vorteil -0.237%
Kelly -0.683%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.53

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
62.03%65.06%65.27%67.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.401.471.471.5371.43%68.15%68.03%65.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Alexander Blockx (Auswärts)

Prognose 34.88%2.87faire Quote
EV +3.93%
Vorteil +1.32%
Kelly +1.99%
Wachstum +0.078%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.98

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
32.27%34.94%34.73%37.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.502.682.702.9840.00%37.35%37.04%33.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jiri Lehecka (Heim): 65.12%; Alexander Blockx (Auswärts): 34.88%. Für Alexander Blockx (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.87. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.98 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.93%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV +3.93%E +1.32%K +1.99%G +0.078%4.0%2026-08-06 21:40
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV +1.84%E +0.631%K +0.959%G +0.018%4.7%2026-08-06 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -0.251%E -0.088%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 19:56
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -0.251%E -0.088%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 19:56
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.97%E -1.99%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -0.949%E -0.334%K -0.516%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 21:41
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.949%E -0.334%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 19:25
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -1.30%E -0.458%K -0.709%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 19:26
Coolbet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.97%E -1.99%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.34%E -0.837%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.34%E -0.837%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-06 21:51
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.34%E -0.837%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 19:25
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -2.69%E -0.965%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 16:10
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 21:44
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 21:50
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 21:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.92%E -3.37%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 21:51
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 21:50
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 18:41
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 19:46
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 21:51
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 21:50
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 19:56
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 21:51
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 21:51
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 21:51
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 21:51
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 21:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 21:45
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 21:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -6.88%E -2.58%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 21:40
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 21:51
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.92%E -3.37%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 19:51
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.92%E -3.37%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 19:45
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 21:50
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 20:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 21:21
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.32%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 21:50
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.32%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 21:50
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.32%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 21:20
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.32%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 21:50
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.32%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:54
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:54
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:54
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:53
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.362%E -0.237%K -0.683%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -12.81%E -5.12%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 10:24
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.81%E -5.12%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 21:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -12.81%E -5.12%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 11:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-08-06 21:51
Matchbook◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-08-06 21:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-08-06 21:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-08-06 21:41
Novig◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.74%2.99I 33.44%NM 33.26%0.6%2026-08-06 21:51
ProphetX◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.4%2026-08-06 21:51
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-08-06 21:51