Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jiri Lehecka v Alexander Blockx

2026-08-06 15:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Predicción 62.38%1.60momio equitativo
EV -3.31%
Ventaja -2.14%
Kelly -6.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.26%62.56%62.41%65.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.431.491.501.5569.93%67.14%66.89%64.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alexander Blockx (Visitante)

Predicción 37.62%2.66momio equitativo
EV +1.58%
Ventaja +0.583%
Kelly +0.927%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.94%37.44%37.59%39.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.562.552.7042.55%39.09%39.22%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 62.38%; Alexander Blockx (Visitante): 37.62%. Para Alexander Blockx (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.66. 15 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.70, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.58%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -8.93%E -6.11%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%5.5%2026-08-05 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -8.93%E -6.11%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%5.5%2026-08-05 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:05
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:05
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:05
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:05
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:05
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:05
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:05
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 10:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.58%E +0.583%K +0.927%G +0.015%6.0%2026-08-05 11:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -10.80%E -7.55%K -25.11%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -1.06%E -0.402%K -0.649%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 10:05
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.94%E -2.56%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.43%E -0.547%K -0.885%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-05 10:10
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -1.81%E -0.694%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 11:24
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.19%E -0.841%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 10:10
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.81%E -3.85%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.94%E -1.14%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 15:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -2.94%E -1.14%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 11:25
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.07%E -1.60%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 15:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.07%E -1.60%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 10:10
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 10:24
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 09:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 10:09
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 10:10
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 10:10
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 10:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 10:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.70%E -2.70%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 10:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.31%E -2.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.83%E -3.20%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:55
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.83%E -3.20%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 11:20
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.20%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 10:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.05%E -4.73%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.83%E -3.20%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 10:10
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.05%E -4.73%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.83%E -3.20%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 15:15
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.20%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 15:15
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.31%E -2.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.71%E -4.05%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:55
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.71%E -4.05%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.71%E -4.05%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 11:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.71%E -4.05%K -6.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-05 10:55
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.31%E -2.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.59%E -4.93%K -8.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 11:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.31%E -2.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.59%E -4.93%K -8.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 11:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -9.55%E -6.59%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -11.59%E -4.93%K -8.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-05 10:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%6.2%2026-08-05 15:20
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 61.98%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%10.5%2026-08-05 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.61%2.14I 46.73%NM 40.39%15.7%2026-08-05 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.61%2.14I 46.73%NM 40.39%15.7%2026-08-05 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 46.89%1.28I 78.13%NM 53.11%47.1%2026-08-05 15:15