Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Jiri Lehecka v Alexander Blockx

Początek: 2026-08-06 22:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Jiri Lehecka 2–0 Alexander Blockx

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Jiri Lehecka (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 65.12%1.54kurs godziwy
EV -0.362%
Przewaga -0.237%
Kelly -0.683%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.53

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
62.03%65.06%65.27%67.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.401.471.471.5371.43%68.15%68.03%65.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alexander Blockx (Goście)

Prognoza 34.88%2.87kurs godziwy
EV +3.93%
Przewaga +1.32%
Kelly +1.99%
Wzrost +0.078%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.98

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.27%34.94%34.73%37.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.502.682.702.9840.00%37.35%37.04%33.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Jiri Lehecka (Gospodarze): 65.12%; Alexander Blockx (Goście): 34.88%. Dla wyniku Alexander Blockx (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.87. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.98, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.93%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV +3.93%E +1.32%K +1.99%G +0.078%4.0%2026-08-06 21:40
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV +1.84%E +0.631%K +0.959%G +0.018%4.7%2026-08-06 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -0.251%E -0.088%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 19:56
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -0.251%E -0.088%K -0.135%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 19:56
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.97%E -1.99%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -0.949%E -0.334%K -0.516%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 21:41
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -0.949%E -0.334%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 19:25
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -1.30%E -0.458%K -0.709%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 19:26
Coolbet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.97%E -1.99%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.34%E -0.837%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.34%E -0.837%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-06 21:51
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.34%E -0.837%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 19:25
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -2.69%E -0.965%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 16:10
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 21:44
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 21:50
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 21:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.92%E -3.37%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 21:51
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 21:50
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 18:41
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 19:46
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 21:51
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 21:50
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 19:56
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 21:51
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 21:51
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 21:51
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 21:51
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 21:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 21:45
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.83%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-06 21:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -6.88%E -2.58%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 21:40
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 21:51
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.92%E -3.37%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 19:51
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.92%E -3.37%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 19:45
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 21:50
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 20:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 21:21
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.32%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 21:50
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.32%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 21:50
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.27%E -2.90%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.32%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 21:20
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.32%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 21:50
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.32%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:54
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:54
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:54
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:53
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 09:55
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.362%E -0.237%K -0.683%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -12.81%E -5.12%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 10:24
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.32%E -1.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.81%E -5.12%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 21:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.62%E -2.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -12.81%E -5.12%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 11:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-08-06 21:51
Matchbook◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-08-06 21:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-08-06 21:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-08-06 21:41
Novig◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.74%2.99I 33.44%NM 33.26%0.6%2026-08-06 21:51
ProphetX◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%1.4%2026-08-06 21:51
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-08-06 21:51