Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hubert Hurkacz v Marcos Giron

2026-08-03 13:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hubert Hurkacz (Local)

Prediction 62.19%1.61fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -4.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.95%62.09%62.09%63.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.531.5768.97%65.33%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marcos Giron (Visit)

Prediction 37.81%2.65fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.655%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.72%37.91%37.91%40.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.462.452.6043.48%40.60%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hubert Hurkacz (Local): 62.19%; Marcos Giron (Visit): 37.81%. For Marcos Giron (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.60, with an expected value of -1.70%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.36%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.36%E -1.50%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:15
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.98%E -1.91%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.84%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 13:50
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.98%E -1.91%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.84%E -1.10%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 13:50
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.98%E -1.91%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.59%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 12:10
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.98%E -1.91%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 13:30
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.98%E -1.91%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.13%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:30
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.98%E -1.91%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.13%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:30
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.98%E -1.91%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.13%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.98%E -1.91%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.13%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:30
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.98%E -1.91%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.13%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:29
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.98%E -1.91%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.13%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:29
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.98%E -1.91%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.13%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:30
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.98%E -1.91%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.13%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:30
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.98%E -1.91%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.13%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:30
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.98%E -1.91%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.13%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:29
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.98%E -1.91%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.13%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:29
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.98%E -1.91%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.13%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:30
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.98%E -1.91%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.13%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:30
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.98%E -1.91%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.13%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.98%E -1.91%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.13%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:25
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.70%E -0.655%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 12:10
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -7.00%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:30
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.60%E -2.32%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:14
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.70%E -0.655%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 14:00
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.22%E -2.74%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 12:53
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.17%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:04
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.17%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:05
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.17%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:05
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.17%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:44
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.84%E -3.17%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:54
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -4.84%E -3.17%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 12:14
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.84%E -3.17%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 14:17
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.47%E -3.60%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -2.46%E -0.953%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 13:05
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.47%E -3.60%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.59%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 13:09
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.47%E -3.60%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:09
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.09%E -4.03%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 14:10
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 13:19
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 11:35
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 11:35
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 13:29
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 13:45
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -6.62%E -2.68%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 13:44
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 13:10
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 13:19
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 13:40
betano_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.71%E -4.47%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 14:03
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -7.33%E -4.92%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -7.75%E -3.18%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 12:50
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.95%E -5.37%K -16.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -3.59%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 13:34
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.05%EV -7.95%E -5.37%K -16.57%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.95%EV -8.51%E -3.52%K -5.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 14:14
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.58%E -5.83%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:49
ReBet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -8.58%E -5.83%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -10.02%E -4.21%K -7.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 14:09
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.33%EV -9.82%E -6.77%K -21.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-02 13:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-02 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-08-02 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-08-02 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-08-02 13:40
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%5.4%2026-08-02 14:35
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 59.32%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.68%8.8%2026-08-02 14:35