Langue:Français
Hubert Hurkacz v Marcos Giron
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Hubert Hurkacz (Local)
Prévision 62.02%1.61cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -3.47%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.58
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.26%62.02%62.03%62.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.531.541.5868.03%65.22%64.94%63.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Marcos Giron (Visiteur)
Prévision 37.98%2.63cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -0.779%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.58
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.03%37.98%37.97%39.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.492.502.5842.55%40.20%40.00%38.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hubert Hurkacz (Local) : 62.02% ; Marcos Giron (Visiteur) : 37.98%. Pour Marcos Giron (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.63. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.58, pour une espérance de -2.01% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.01%E -1.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.63%E -1.68%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.15%E -1.23%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 11:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.63%E -1.68%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.01%E -0.779%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 11:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.77%E -1.08%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.77%E -1.08%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 14:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.87%E -2.50%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 11:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.87%E -2.50%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 20:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.87%E -2.50%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.87%E -2.50%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.74%E -4.57%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 14:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.15%E -1.23%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.15%E -1.23%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 11:52 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.15%E -1.23%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 11:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 14:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 11:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 14:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 11:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 11:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -2.39%E -0.929%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.15%E -1.23%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 11:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.15%E -1.23%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 11:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.53%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 07:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 11:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 14:17 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -3.53%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -4.29%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 14:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.35%E -4.21%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 12:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.35%E -4.21%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -7.71%E -3.17%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -3.53%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -6.19%E -2.50%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 11:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 11:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 11:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.83%E -6.01%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 0.1% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |