Язык:Русский
Hubert Hurkacz v Marcos Giron
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Hubert Hurkacz (Хозяева)
Прогноз 62.02%1.61справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.01%
Преимущество -1.27%
Kelly -3.47%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.58
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
60.26%62.02%62.03%62.97%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.471.531.541.5868.03%65.22%64.94%63.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Marcos Giron (Гости)
Прогноз 37.98%2.63справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.01%
Преимущество -0.779%
Kelly -1.27%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.58
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
37.03%37.98%37.97%39.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.352.492.502.5842.55%40.20%40.00%38.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Hubert Hurkacz (Хозяева): 62.02%; Marcos Giron (Гости): 37.98%. Для исхода «Marcos Giron (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.63. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.58, математическое ожидание — -2.01%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.01%E -1.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.63%E -1.68%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.15%E -1.23%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 11:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.63%E -1.68%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.01%E -0.779%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 11:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.77%E -1.08%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.77%E -1.08%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 14:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.87%E -2.50%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 11:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.87%E -2.50%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 20:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.87%E -2.50%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.87%E -2.50%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.74%E -4.57%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 14:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.15%E -1.23%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.15%E -1.23%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 11:52 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.15%E -1.23%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 11:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 14:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 11:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 14:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 11:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 11:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -2.39%E -0.929%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.15%E -1.23%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 11:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.15%E -1.23%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 11:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.53%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 07:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 07:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 06:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 11:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 14:17 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -3.53%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -4.29%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 14:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.35%E -4.21%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 12:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.35%E -4.21%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -7.71%E -3.17%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -3.53%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -6.19%E -2.50%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 11:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 11:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 11:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.83%E -6.01%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 0.1% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |