Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexei Popyrin v Roman Andres Burruchaga

2026-08-03 13:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexei Popyrin (Local)

Prediction 58.14%1.72fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -3.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.14%58.13%58.10%59.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.631.6864.52%61.49%61.35%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visit)

Prediction 41.86%2.39fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.689%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.87%41.87%41.90%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.282.3547.62%44.28%43.86%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alexei Popyrin (Local): 58.14%; Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visit): 41.86%. For Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.35, with an expected value of -1.62%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 14:00
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 14:15
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -2.91%E -1.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -8.74%E -4.01%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 12:53
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.50%E -2.11%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.64%E -2.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:30
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.62%E -0.689%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 12:10
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.62%E -0.689%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 14:00
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.62%E -0.689%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 13:59
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.04%E -0.870%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 11:55
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -4.97%E -2.19%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:09
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:54
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 13:05
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 11:55
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:15
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:15
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:15
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:15
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:20
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:19
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:20
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:20
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:20
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:20
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:19
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:20
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:20
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -1.99%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:25
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:40
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:35
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:19
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:29
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:44
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:54
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -7.48%E -3.38%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 13:44
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 11:54
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.87%E -1.24%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:19
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:55
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:55
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:54
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 12:10
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 13:10
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.98%E -4.36%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 13:34
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.98%E -4.36%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 14:28
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.98%E -4.36%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:19
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.98%E -4.36%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:40
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.98%E -4.36%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 14:03
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.56%E -4.76%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:09
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -8.15%E -5.16%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:14
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.80%E -2.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 13:49
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.89%E -6.38%K -17.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -12.08%E -5.75%K -10.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 13:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-08-02 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-08-02 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-08-02 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%2.3%2026-08-02 14:05
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%5.8%2026-08-02 14:30
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%6.2%2026-08-02 14:10