Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Alexei Popyrin v Roman Andres Burruchaga

Początek: 2026-08-04 17:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Alexei Popyrin 2–1 Roman Andres Burruchaga

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

66 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Alexei Popyrin (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 60.56%1.65kurs godziwy
EV -2.50%
Przewaga -1.55%
Kelly -4.10%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.61

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.82%60.64%60.51%62.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.521.581.571.6165.79%63.43%63.69%62.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Roman Andres Burruchaga (Goście)

Prognoza 39.44%2.54kurs godziwy
EV +2.15%
Przewaga +0.832%
Kelly +1.35%
Wzrost +0.029%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.59

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.44%39.36%39.49%41.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.382.382.5944.44%42.04%42.02%38.61%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Alexei Popyrin (Gospodarze): 60.56%; Roman Andres Burruchaga (Goście): 39.44%. Dla wyniku Roman Andres Burruchaga (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.54. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.59, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.15%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV +2.15%E +0.832%K +1.35%G +0.029%3.1%2026-08-04 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV +2.15%E +0.832%K +1.35%G +0.029%3.1%2026-08-04 16:25
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -4.32%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -0.607%E -0.241%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 16:50
BetAnything🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -0.607%E -0.241%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -0.607%E -0.241%K -0.399%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.53%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.40%E -0.558%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 17:04
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.11%E -1.94%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.58%E -1.04%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 15:05
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.97%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 13:45
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.37%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 15:20
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.37%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 13:39
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.37%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 15:20
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.37%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:00
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.53%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.16%E -1.71%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 13:44
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.11%E -1.94%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.11%E -1.94%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 06:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 13:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.32%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 13:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.32%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:05
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 13:45
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.53%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 16:00
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 15:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -5.73%E -2.40%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 17:10
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 15:15
NordicBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 13:45
Betsson🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.32%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 13:44
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:09
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 15:19
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 13:45
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 03:35
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 13:44
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 13:45
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 15:18
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 15:20
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.32%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 15:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 13:44
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 16:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 14:00
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 16:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.95%E -5.23%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 07:55
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.50%E -3.66%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:10
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:14
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:10
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:09
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:10
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:09
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:10
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:09
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.11%E -1.94%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 14:40
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.26%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 11:09
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%0.3%2026-08-04 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-04 17:10
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-04 17:10
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-04 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-08-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-08-04 17:00
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%2.4%2026-08-04 17:10