Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexei Popyrin v Roman Andres Burruchaga

Início: 2026-08-04 17:30 UTC

Final: Alexei Popyrin 2–1 Roman Andres Burruchaga

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexei Popyrin (Local)

Previsão 60.56%1.65odd justa
EV -2.50%
Vantagem -1.55%
Kelly -4.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.82%60.64%60.51%62.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.521.581.571.6165.79%63.43%63.69%62.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visitante)

Previsão 39.44%2.54odd justa
EV +2.15%
Vantagem +0.832%
Kelly +1.35%
Crescimento +0.029%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.44%39.36%39.49%41.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.382.382.5944.44%42.04%42.02%38.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alexei Popyrin (Local): 60.56%; Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visitante): 39.44%. Para Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.54. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.59, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.15%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV +2.15%E +0.832%K +1.35%G +0.029%3.1%2026-08-04 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV +2.15%E +0.832%K +1.35%G +0.029%3.1%2026-08-04 16:25
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -4.32%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -0.607%E -0.241%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 16:50
BetAnything🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -0.607%E -0.241%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -0.607%E -0.241%K -0.399%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.53%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.40%E -0.558%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 17:04
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.11%E -1.94%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.58%E -1.04%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 15:05
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.97%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 13:45
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.37%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 15:20
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.37%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 13:39
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.37%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 15:20
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.37%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:00
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.53%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.16%E -1.71%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 13:44
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.11%E -1.94%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.11%E -1.94%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 06:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 13:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.32%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 13:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.32%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:05
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 13:45
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.53%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 16:00
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 15:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -5.73%E -2.40%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 17:10
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 15:15
NordicBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 13:45
Betsson🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.32%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 13:44
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:09
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 15:19
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 13:45
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 03:35
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 13:44
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 13:45
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 15:18
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 15:20
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.32%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 15:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 13:44
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 16:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 14:00
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 16:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.95%E -5.23%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 07:55
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.50%E -3.66%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:10
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:14
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:10
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:09
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:10
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:09
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:10
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 11:09
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.11%E -1.94%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 14:40
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.26%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 11:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%0.3%2026-08-04 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-04 17:10
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-04 17:10
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-04 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-08-04 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-08-04 17:00
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%2.4%2026-08-04 17:10