Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Alexei Popyrin v Roman Andres Burruchaga

2026-08-03 13:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Alexei Popyrin (Хозяева)

Прогноз 58.14%1.72справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.33%
Преимущество -1.39%
Kelly -3.43%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.68

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
56.14%58.13%58.20%59.13%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.551.631.631.6864.52%61.44%61.35%59.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Roman Andres Burruchaga (Гости)

Прогноз 41.86%2.39справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.62%
Преимущество -0.689%
Kelly -1.20%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.35

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
40.87%41.87%41.80%43.86%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.102.262.272.3547.62%44.33%43.96%42.55%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Для рынка «Победитель встречи» модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивает вероятности так: Alexei Popyrin (Хозяева): 58.14%; Roman Andres Burruchaga (Гости): 41.86%. Для исхода «Roman Andres Burruchaga (Гости)» эта оценка соответствует справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.39. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагает коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший доступный коэффициент — 2.35, математическое ожидание — -1.62%; положительного ожидания нет.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 14:00
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 14:15
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -2.91%E -1.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -8.74%E -4.01%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 12:53
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.49%E -2.10%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.88%E -1.24%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 15:00
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.62%E -0.689%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 12:10
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.62%E -0.689%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 14:00
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.62%E -0.689%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 13:59
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -4.97%E -2.19%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:09
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:54
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 15:15
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 15:25
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 15:30
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 13:05
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:39
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:15
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:15
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:15
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:15
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:20
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:19
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:20
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:20
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:20
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:20
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:19
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:20
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:20
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 15:05
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:25
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.97%E -2.19%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 15:10
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:40
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:35
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:19
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:29
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:44
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:54
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -7.48%E -3.39%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 13:44
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 11:54
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.88%E -1.24%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:19
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:55
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:55
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:54
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 12:10
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 13:10
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.98%E -4.36%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 14:40
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.98%E -4.36%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 14:28
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.98%E -4.36%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:19
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.98%E -4.36%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:40
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.98%E -4.36%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 14:03
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.56%E -4.76%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:09
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -8.14%E -5.15%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:14
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 13:49
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.89%E -6.38%K -17.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -12.09%E -5.76%K -10.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 13:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-08-02 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-08-02 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-08-02 14:45
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-08-02 14:00
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%5.0%2026-08-02 15:10
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 57.30%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.70%12.6%2026-08-02 15:30