Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexei Popyrin v Roman Andres Burruchaga

2026-08-03 13:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexei Popyrin (Local)

Predicción 58.14%1.72momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -3.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.14%58.13%58.20%59.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.631.631.6864.52%61.44%61.35%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visitante)

Predicción 41.86%2.39momio equitativo
EV -1.62%
Ventaja -0.689%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.87%41.87%41.80%43.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.262.272.3547.62%44.33%43.96%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Alexei Popyrin (Local): 58.14%; Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visitante): 41.86%. Para Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.39. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.35, con un valor esperado de -1.62%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 14:00
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.33%E -1.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 14:15
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -2.91%E -1.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -8.74%E -4.01%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 12:53
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.49%E -2.10%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -2.88%E -1.24%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 15:00
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.62%E -0.689%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 12:10
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.62%E -0.689%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 14:00
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.62%E -0.689%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 13:59
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -4.97%E -2.19%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:09
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:54
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 15:15
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 15:25
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.08%E -2.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.99%E -4.65%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 15:30
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 13:05
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:39
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.66%E -2.84%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:15
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:15
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:15
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:15
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:20
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:19
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:20
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:20
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:20
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:20
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:19
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:20
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:20
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 15:05
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.55%E -2.00%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:25
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.97%E -2.19%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 15:10
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:40
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.24%E -3.21%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:35
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:19
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:29
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:44
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:54
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -7.48%E -3.39%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 13:44
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.82%E -3.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 11:54
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -2.88%E -1.24%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:19
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:55
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:55
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 11:54
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 12:10
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.40%E -3.98%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 13:10
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.98%E -4.36%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 14:40
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.98%E -4.36%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 14:28
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.98%E -4.36%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:19
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.98%E -4.36%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:40
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.98%E -4.36%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 14:03
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.56%E -4.76%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.71%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:09
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -8.14%E -5.15%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.90%E -3.59%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:14
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.73%E -5.56%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.81%E -2.58%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 13:49
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.89%E -6.38%K -17.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -12.09%E -5.76%K -10.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 13:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-08-02 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-08-02 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-08-02 14:45
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-08-02 14:00
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%5.0%2026-08-02 15:10
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 57.30%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.70%12.6%2026-08-02 15:30