Idioma:Español
Alexei Popyrin v Roman Andres Burruchaga
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexei Popyrin (Local)
Predicción 60.56%1.65momio equitativo
EV -2.50%
Ventaja -1.55%
Kelly -4.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.82%60.64%60.51%62.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.521.581.571.6165.79%63.43%63.69%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visitante)
Predicción 39.44%2.54momio equitativo
EV +2.15%
Ventaja +0.832%
Kelly +1.35%
Crecimiento +0.029%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.44%39.36%39.49%41.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.382.382.5944.44%42.04%42.02%38.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Alexei Popyrin (Local): 60.56%; Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visitante): 39.44%. Para Roman Andres Burruchaga (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.54. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.59, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.15%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV +2.15%E +0.832%K +1.35%G +0.029% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV +2.15%E +0.832%K +1.35%G +0.029% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -4.32%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -0.607%E -0.241%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -0.607%E -0.241%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -0.607%E -0.241%K -0.399%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.53%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.40%E -0.558%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 17:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.11%E -1.94%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.58%E -1.04%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.97%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 13:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.37%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 15:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.37%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 13:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.37%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.37%E -1.37%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.53%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.16%E -1.71%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 13:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.11%E -1.94%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.11%E -1.94%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 06:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 13:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.32%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 13:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.32%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 16:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.53%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.34%E -2.22%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 15:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -5.73%E -2.40%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.32%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 13:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 15:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 13:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 03:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 13:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 15:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.35%E -4.80%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 15:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.32%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 15:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 13:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 16:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 16:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.95%E -5.23%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.31%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 07:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.50%E -3.66%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 11:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 11:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 11:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 11:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 11:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 11:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 11:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 11:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 11:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 11:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 11:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 11:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.11%E -1.94%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.28%E -4.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.92%E -3.14%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.26%E -5.00%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 11:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |