The School of Odds

Rafael Jodar v Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Matchstart: 2026-04-15 14:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Rafael Jodar (Hemma)

Prognos 78.72%1.27rättvist odds
EV -3.17%
Fördel -2.58%
Kelly -13.79%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.23

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
75.70%78.71%78.79%81.08%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.121.201.201.2389.29%83.41%83.33%81.30%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Borta)

Prognos 21.28%4.70rättvist odds
EV +8.73%
Fördel +1.71%
Kelly +2.12%
Tillväxt +0.185%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.11

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.92%21.29%21.21%24.30%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.804.384.405.1126.32%22.82%22.73%19.57%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 80.85%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 19.15%EV +8.73%E +1.71%K +2.12%G +0.185%2.2%2026-04-15 14:10
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 80.36%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.64%EV +3.62%E +0.744%K +0.936%G +0.034%4.6%2026-04-15 14:10
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +2.13%E +0.445%K +0.562%G +0.012%3.5%2026-04-15 14:10
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +2.13%E +0.445%K +0.562%G +0.012%4.2%2026-04-15 14:10
NetBet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -11.83%E -10.56%K -98.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV +2.13%E +0.445%K +0.562%G +0.012%10.1%2026-04-15 14:06
1xBet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.03%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.97%EV +1.50%E +0.314%K +0.397%G +0.006%5.0%2026-04-15 14:10
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.07%E +0.225%K +0.286%G +0.003%3.0%2026-04-15 13:59
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +0.007%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 14:09
ReBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.12%E -0.461%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 13:59
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.90%E -6.75%K -46.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.12%E -0.461%K -0.589%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 14:10
Marathon Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -3.18%E -0.700%K -0.897%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 14:07
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 14:09
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 14:09
Hard Rock Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 14:10
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 14:10
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 14:09
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 14:08
Codere (IT)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 14:01
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 14:10
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.90%E -6.75%K -46.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 14:09
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -8.68%E -7.48%K -54.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 13:59
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -5.31%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 14:10
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 14:10
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 14:10
Casumo1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 14:09
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 14:09
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 14:10
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 14:10
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 14:10
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 14:10
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 14:10
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 14:09
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.44%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 13:59
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.44%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 14:09
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.44%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 14:09
Fliff1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.90%E -6.75%K -46.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.44%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 14:10
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 14:10
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 14:10
Betr (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 14:10
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.17%E -2.58%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -9.14%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 14:10
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.17%E -2.58%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -9.14%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 14:10
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.57%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 14:10
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.57%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 14:09
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -9.57%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -9.57%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 14:10
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 14:10
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 13:59
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 14:10
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 13:59
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 14:10
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 14:10
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 13:59
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 14:10
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -12.76%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-15 14:09
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 14:10
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 14:08
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-15 14:09
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%EV -8.68%E -7.48%K -54.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-15 14:09
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -19.14%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 14:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-04-15 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-04-15 14:10
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 79.51%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.49%0.6%2026-04-15 14:10
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-04-15 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-04-15 14:10
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 79.50%4.81I 20.79%NM 20.50%1.4%2026-04-15 14:10
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%2.8%2026-04-15 14:10