مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Rafael Jodar v Camilo Ugo Carabelli
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Rafael Jodar (المضيف)
التنبؤ 78.72%1.27السعر العادل
EV -3.17%
الأفضلية -2.58%
Kelly -13.79%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.23
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
75.70%78.71%78.79%81.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.121.201.201.2389.29%83.41%83.33%81.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (الضيف)
التنبؤ 21.28%4.70السعر العادل
EV +8.73%
الأفضلية +1.71%
Kelly +2.12%
النمو +0.185%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.11
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.92%21.29%21.21%24.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.804.384.405.1126.32%22.82%22.73%19.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.85%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 19.15%EV +8.73%E +1.71%K +2.12%G +0.185% | 2.2% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.36%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.64%EV +3.62%E +0.744%K +0.936%G +0.034% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +2.13%E +0.445%K +0.562%G +0.012% | 3.5% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +2.13%E +0.445%K +0.562%G +0.012% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -11.83%E -10.56%K -98.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV +2.13%E +0.445%K +0.562%G +0.012% | 10.1% | 2026-04-15 14:06 |
| 1xBet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.03%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.97%EV +1.50%E +0.314%K +0.397%G +0.006% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| GTbets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.07%E +0.225%K +0.286%G +0.003% | 3.0% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +0.007%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| ReBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.12%E -0.461%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.90%E -6.75%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.12%E -0.461%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -3.18%E -0.700%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 14:07 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 14:08 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 14:01 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.90%E -6.75%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Everygame | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -8.68%E -7.48%K -54.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -5.31%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Casumo | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Unibet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| betPARX | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Caesars | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.44%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.44%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Betsson | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.44%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Fliff | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.90%E -6.75%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.44%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.17%E -2.58%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -9.14%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.17%E -2.58%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -9.14%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.57%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.57%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Neds | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -9.57%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -9.57%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -12.76%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| TAB | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 14:08 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%EV -8.68%E -7.48%K -54.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -19.14%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (7)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56% | 0.3% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56% | 0.3% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.51% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.49% | 0.6% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Novig | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.50% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 20.50% | 1.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 2.8% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |