Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Rafael Jodar v Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Rafael Jodar (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 78.72%1.27kurs godziwy
EV -3.17%
Przewaga -2.58%
Kelly -13.79%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.23
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
75.70%78.71%78.79%81.08%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.121.201.201.2389.29%83.41%83.33%81.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Goście)
Prognoza 21.28%4.70kurs godziwy
EV +8.73%
Przewaga +1.71%
Kelly +2.12%
Wzrost +0.185%
przy maksymalnym kursie 5.11
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.92%21.29%21.21%24.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.804.384.405.1126.32%22.82%22.73%19.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.85%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 19.15%EV +8.73%E +1.71%K +2.12%G +0.185% | 2.2% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.36%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.64%EV +3.62%E +0.744%K +0.936%G +0.034% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +2.13%E +0.445%K +0.562%G +0.012% | 3.5% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +2.13%E +0.445%K +0.562%G +0.012% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -11.83%E -10.56%K -98.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV +2.13%E +0.445%K +0.562%G +0.012% | 10.1% | 2026-04-15 14:06 |
| 1xBet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.03%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.97%EV +1.50%E +0.314%K +0.397%G +0.006% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| GTbets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.07%E +0.225%K +0.286%G +0.003% | 3.0% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +0.007%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| ReBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.12%E -0.461%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.90%E -6.75%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.12%E -0.461%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -3.18%E -0.700%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 14:07 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 14:08 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 14:01 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.90%E -6.75%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Everygame | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -8.68%E -7.48%K -54.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -5.31%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Casumo | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Unibet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| betPARX | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Caesars | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.44%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.44%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Betsson | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.44%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Fliff | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.90%E -6.75%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.44%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.17%E -2.58%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -9.14%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.17%E -2.58%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -9.14%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.57%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.57%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Neds | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -9.57%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -9.57%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -12.76%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| TAB | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 14:08 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%EV -8.68%E -7.48%K -54.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -19.14%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56% | 0.3% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56% | 0.3% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.51% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.49% | 0.6% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Novig | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.50% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 20.50% | 1.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 2.8% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |