L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Rafael Jodar v Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Prévision 78.72%1.27cote équitable
EV -3.17%
Avantage -2.58%
Kelly -13.79%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.70%78.71%78.79%81.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.201.201.2389.29%83.41%83.33%81.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.28%4.70cote équitable
EV +8.73%
Avantage +1.71%
Kelly +2.12%
Croissance +0.185%
avec la cote maximale 5.11
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.92%21.29%21.21%24.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.384.405.1126.32%22.82%22.73%19.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.85%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 19.15%EV +8.73%E +1.71%K +2.12%G +0.185% | 2.2% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.36%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.64%EV +3.62%E +0.744%K +0.936%G +0.034% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +2.13%E +0.445%K +0.562%G +0.012% | 3.5% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +2.13%E +0.445%K +0.562%G +0.012% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -11.83%E -10.56%K -98.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV +2.13%E +0.445%K +0.562%G +0.012% | 10.1% | 2026-04-15 14:06 |
| 1xBet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.03%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.97%EV +1.50%E +0.314%K +0.397%G +0.006% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| GTbets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +1.07%E +0.225%K +0.286%G +0.003% | 3.0% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +0.007%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| ReBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.12%E -0.461%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.90%E -6.75%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.12%E -0.461%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -3.18%E -0.700%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 14:07 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 14:08 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 14:01 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.90%E -6.75%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Everygame | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -8.68%E -7.48%K -54.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -4.25%E -0.944%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -5.31%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Casumo | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Unibet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| betPARX | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Caesars | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.38%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.44%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.44%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Betsson | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.44%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Fliff | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.90%E -6.75%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.44%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.87%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.17%E -2.58%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -9.14%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.17%E -2.58%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -9.14%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.57%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.75%E -3.92%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -9.57%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Neds | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -9.57%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -9.57%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-15 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.32%E -5.31%K -33.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -12.76%E -3.11%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| TAB | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.53%E -4.61%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 14:08 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.11%E -6.02%K -39.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%EV -8.68%E -7.48%K -54.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -14.89%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-15 14:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -3.96%E -3.25%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -19.14%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56% | 0.3% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56% | 0.3% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.51% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.49% | 0.6% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Novig | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.50% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 20.50% | 1.4% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 2.8% | 2026-04-15 14:10 |