默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pedro Martinez v Lorenzo Sonego

开赛时间: 2026-04-14 09:05 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pedro Martinez (主队)

预测 63.12%1.58公平赔率
EV -2.80%
优势 -1.82%
Kelly -5.19%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.54

博彩公司预测分布
61.31%63.09%63.29%65.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.491.501.5469.44%66.94%66.67%64.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

Lorenzo Sonego (客队)

预测 36.88%2.71公平赔率
EV +2.17%
优势 +0.782%
Kelly +1.22%
增长率 +0.027%

假设最高赔率为 2.77

博彩公司预测分布
34.52%36.91%36.71%38.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.582.602.7741.67%38.80%38.46%36.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Pedro Martinez (主队):63.12%;Lorenzo Sonego (客队):36.88%。 对于“Lorenzo Sonego (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.71。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.77,对应+2.17%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -7.85%E -5.38%K -17.06%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +2.17%E +0.782%K +1.22%G +0.027%4.6%2026-04-14 09:00
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.415%E -0.154%K -0.244%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 08:59
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -1.89%E -0.711%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -2.80%E -1.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -3.00%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.00%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -3.00%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 09:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 09:00
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.80%E -1.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 09:00
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 08:59
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.84%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 09:00
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 09:00
Fliff🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.22%E -4.91%K -15.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 09:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -7.05%E -2.80%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 09:00
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.22%E -4.91%K -15.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 08:58
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -4.06%E -2.67%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.19%EV -9.27%E -3.77%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 09:00
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -2.80%E -1.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -10.00%E -4.10%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 08:58
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%0.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-14 09:00
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%2.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%3.5%2026-04-14 09:00