La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Pedro Martinez v Lorenzo Sonego
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pedro Martinez (Local)
Predicción 63.12%1.58momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -1.82%
Kelly -5.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.31%63.09%63.29%65.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.491.501.5469.44%66.94%66.67%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lorenzo Sonego (Visitante)
Predicción 36.88%2.71momio equitativo
EV +2.17%
Ventaja +0.782%
Kelly +1.22%
Crecimiento +0.027%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.52%36.91%36.71%38.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.582.602.7741.67%38.80%38.46%36.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -7.85%E -5.38%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +2.17%E +0.782%K +1.22%G +0.027% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.415%E -0.154%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -1.89%E -0.711%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -2.80%E -1.82%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -3.00%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.00%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -3.00%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.80%E -1.82%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Bovada | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| betPARX | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| ReBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.84%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Fliff | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.22%E -4.91%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -7.05%E -2.80%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betsson | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Caesars | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.22%E -4.91%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 08:58 |
| GTbets | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -4.06%E -2.67%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.19%EV -9.27%E -3.77%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -2.80%E -1.82%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -10.00%E -4.10%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 08:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 0.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 0.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 2.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Novig | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45% | 3.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |