Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pedro Martinez v Lorenzo Sonego

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-14 09:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pedro Martinez (Local)

Prévision 63.12%1.58cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -1.82%
Kelly -5.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.31%63.09%63.29%65.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.491.501.5469.44%66.94%66.67%64.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Lorenzo Sonego (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.88%2.71cote équitable
EV +2.17%
Avantage +0.782%
Kelly +1.22%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 2.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%36.91%36.71%38.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.582.602.7741.67%38.80%38.46%36.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Pedro Martinez (Local) : 63.12% ; Lorenzo Sonego (Visiteur) : 36.88%. Pour Lorenzo Sonego (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.71. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.77, soit une espérance positive de +2.17%.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -7.85%E -5.38%K -17.06%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +2.17%E +0.782%K +1.22%G +0.027%4.6%2026-04-14 09:00
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.415%E -0.154%K -0.244%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 08:59
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -1.89%E -0.711%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -2.80%E -1.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -3.00%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.00%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -3.00%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 09:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 09:00
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.80%E -1.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 09:00
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 08:59
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.84%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 09:00
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 09:00
Fliff🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.22%E -4.91%K -15.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 09:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -7.05%E -2.80%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 09:00
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.22%E -4.91%K -15.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 08:58
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -4.06%E -2.67%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.19%EV -9.27%E -3.77%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 09:00
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -2.80%E -1.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -10.00%E -4.10%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 08:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%0.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-14 09:00
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%2.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%3.5%2026-04-14 09:00