Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Pedro Martinez v Lorenzo Sonego

Inizio: 2026-04-14 09:05 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

58 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Pedro Martinez (Casa)

Previsione 63.12%1.58quota equa
EV -2.80%
Vantaggio -1.82%
Kelly -5.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.31%63.09%63.29%65.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.491.501.5469.44%66.94%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Lorenzo Sonego (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.88%2.71quota equa
EV +2.17%
Vantaggio +0.782%
Kelly +1.22%
Crescita +0.027%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.52%36.91%36.71%38.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.582.602.7741.67%38.80%38.46%36.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Pedro Martinez (Casa): 63.12%; Lorenzo Sonego (Trasferta): 36.88%. Per Lorenzo Sonego (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.71. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.77, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.17%.

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -7.85%E -5.38%K -17.06%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +2.17%E +0.782%K +1.22%G +0.027%4.6%2026-04-14 09:00
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.415%E -0.154%K -0.244%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 08:59
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -1.89%E -0.711%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -2.80%E -1.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -3.00%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.00%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -3.00%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 09:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 09:00
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.80%E -1.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 09:00
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 08:59
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.84%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 09:00
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 09:00
Fliff🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.22%E -4.91%K -15.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 09:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -7.05%E -2.80%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 09:00
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.22%E -4.91%K -15.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 08:58
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -4.06%E -2.67%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.19%EV -9.27%E -3.77%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 09:00
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -2.80%E -1.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -10.00%E -4.10%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 08:58
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%0.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-14 09:00
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%2.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%3.5%2026-04-14 09:00