مدرسة الاحتمالات

Pedro Martinez v Lorenzo Sonego

البداية: 2026-04-14 09:05 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Pedro Martinez (المضيف)

التنبؤ 63.12%1.58السعر العادل
EV -2.80%
الأفضلية -1.82%
Kelly -5.19%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.31%63.09%63.29%65.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.491.501.5469.44%66.94%66.67%64.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Lorenzo Sonego (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.88%2.71السعر العادل
EV +2.17%
الأفضلية +0.782%
Kelly +1.22%
النمو +0.027%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.52%36.91%36.71%38.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.582.602.7741.67%38.80%38.46%36.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -7.85%E -5.38%K -17.06%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +2.17%E +0.782%K +1.22%G +0.027%4.6%2026-04-14 09:00
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.415%E -0.154%K -0.244%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 08:59
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -1.89%E -0.711%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -2.80%E -1.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -3.00%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.00%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -3.00%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 09:00
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-14 09:00
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.80%E -1.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 09:00
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 08:59
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.84%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 09:00
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Betr (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 09:00
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.22%E -4.91%K -15.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 09:00
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -7.05%E -2.80%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 09:00
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 09:00
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.22%E -4.91%K -15.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 08:58
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -4.06%E -2.67%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.19%EV -9.27%E -3.77%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 09:00
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -2.80%E -1.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -10.00%E -4.10%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 08:58
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%0.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-14 09:00
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%2.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%3.5%2026-04-14 09:00