Language:English
Nuno Borges v Adrian Mannarino
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nuno Borges (Local)
Prediction 78.03%1.28fair odd
EV -4.02%
Edge -3.27%
Kelly -17.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.63%78.14%77.84%80.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.211.211.2386.96%82.63%82.64%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Adrian Mannarino (Visit)
Prediction 21.97%4.55fair odd
EV +3.25%
Edge +0.692%
Kelly +0.879%
Growth +0.029%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.66%21.86%22.16%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.294.254.7025.00%23.30%23.53%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nuno Borges (Local): 78.03%; Adrian Mannarino (Visit): 21.97%. For Adrian Mannarino (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.55. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -10.26%E -8.92%K -68.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +3.25%E +0.692%K +0.879%G +0.029% | 8.2% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.15%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.85%EV +2.59%E +0.555%K +0.706%G +0.018% | 2.7% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.05%E +0.229%K +0.293%G +0.003% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 15:58 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.05%E +0.229%K +0.293%G +0.003% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -0.264%E -0.058%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.34%E -0.759%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -9.48%E -8.18%K -59.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -3.34%E -0.759%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV -5.32%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.54%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.54%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.54%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.20%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.20%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -8.83%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -8.83%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.93%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.93%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 15:53 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.9% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.94% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 21.06% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |