La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Nuno Borges v Adrian Mannarino
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Nuno Borges (Casa)
Previsione 78.03%1.28quota equa
EV -4.02%
Vantaggio -3.27%
Kelly -17.48%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.23
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
76.63%78.14%77.84%80.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.211.211.2386.96%82.63%82.64%81.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Adrian Mannarino (Trasferta)
Previsione 21.97%4.55quota equa
EV +3.25%
Vantaggio +0.692%
Kelly +0.879%
Crescita +0.029%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.66%21.86%22.16%23.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.294.254.7025.00%23.30%23.53%21.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -10.26%E -8.92%K -68.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +3.25%E +0.692%K +0.879%G +0.029% | 8.2% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.15%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.85%EV +2.59%E +0.555%K +0.706%G +0.018% | 2.7% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.05%E +0.229%K +0.293%G +0.003% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 15:58 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.05%E +0.229%K +0.293%G +0.003% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -0.264%E -0.058%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| ReBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| William Hill | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.34%E -0.759%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -9.48%E -8.18%K -59.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -3.34%E -0.759%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| GTbets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV -5.32%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.54%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.54%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.54%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.20%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.20%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Casumo | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| BetUS | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| betPARX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| TAB | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -8.83%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -8.83%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.93%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Neds | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.93%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Caesars | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 15:53 |
| Fanatics | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.9% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Novig | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.94% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 21.06% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |