La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Nuno Borges v Adrian Mannarino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nuno Borges (Local)
Predicción 78.03%1.28momio equitativo
EV -4.02%
Ventaja -3.27%
Kelly -17.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.63%78.14%77.84%80.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.211.211.2386.96%82.63%82.64%81.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Adrian Mannarino (Visitante)
Predicción 21.97%4.55momio equitativo
EV +3.25%
Ventaja +0.692%
Kelly +0.879%
Crecimiento +0.029%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.66%21.86%22.16%23.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.294.254.7025.00%23.30%23.53%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -10.26%E -8.92%K -68.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +3.25%E +0.692%K +0.879%G +0.029% | 8.2% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.15%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.85%EV +2.59%E +0.555%K +0.706%G +0.018% | 2.7% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.05%E +0.229%K +0.293%G +0.003% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 15:58 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.05%E +0.229%K +0.293%G +0.003% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -0.264%E -0.058%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| ReBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| William Hill | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.34%E -0.759%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -9.48%E -8.18%K -59.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -3.34%E -0.759%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| GTbets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV -5.32%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.54%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.54%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.54%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.20%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.20%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Casumo | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| BetUS | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| betPARX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| TAB | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -8.83%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -8.83%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.93%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Neds | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.93%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Caesars | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 15:53 |
| Fanatics | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.9% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Novig | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.94% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 21.06% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |