A Escola das Odds

Nuno Borges v Adrian Mannarino

Início: 2026-04-13 16:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Nuno Borges (Local)

Previsão 78.03%1.28odd justa
EV -4.02%
Vantagem -3.27%
Kelly -17.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.63%78.14%77.84%80.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.151.211.211.2386.96%82.63%82.64%81.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Adrian Mannarino (Visitante)

Previsão 21.97%4.55odd justa
EV +3.25%
Vantagem +0.692%
Kelly +0.879%
Crescimento +0.029%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.66%21.86%22.16%23.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.294.254.7025.00%23.30%23.53%21.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -10.26%E -8.92%K -68.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +3.25%E +0.692%K +0.879%G +0.029%8.2%2026-04-13 16:00
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 79.15%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.85%EV +2.59%E +0.555%K +0.706%G +0.018%2.7%2026-04-13 15:59
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.05%E +0.229%K +0.293%G +0.003%5.1%2026-04-13 15:58
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.05%E +0.229%K +0.293%G +0.003%5.8%2026-04-13 15:59
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -0.264%E -0.058%K -0.075%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 15:59
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-13 16:00
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 16:00
ReBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 15:59
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 16:00
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 15:59
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 16:00
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 15:59
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 15:59
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.34%E -0.759%K -0.982%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 16:00
NetBet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -9.48%E -8.18%K -59.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -3.34%E -0.759%K -0.982%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-13 16:00
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 16:00
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV -5.32%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 16:00
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.54%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 16:00
Betr (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.54%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 16:00
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.54%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 16:00
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.20%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 16:00
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.20%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 16:00
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 16:00
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 16:00
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 16:00
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 16:00
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 16:00
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 16:00
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 16:00
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 16:00
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 16:00
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 16:00
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 15:59
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 16:00
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 15:59
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 16:00
Bally Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 16:00
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 16:00
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 16:00
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 16:00
BetMGM1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 16:00
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 16:00
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 16:00
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:00
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 16:00
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 16:00
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 16:00
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 16:00
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -8.83%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 16:00
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -8.83%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.93%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 16:00
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.93%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 16:00
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 15:59
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:00
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:00
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 15:53
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-04-13 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-04-13 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-04-13 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-04-13 16:00
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-04-13 16:00
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 78.94%4.61I 21.69%NM 21.06%3.0%2026-04-13 16:00