L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Nuno Borges v Adrian Mannarino
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nuno Borges (Local)
Prévision 78.03%1.28cote équitable
EV -4.02%
Avantage -3.27%
Kelly -17.48%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.63%78.14%77.84%80.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.211.211.2386.96%82.63%82.64%81.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Adrian Mannarino (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.97%4.55cote équitable
EV +3.25%
Avantage +0.692%
Kelly +0.879%
Croissance +0.029%
avec la cote maximale 4.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.66%21.86%22.16%23.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.294.254.7025.00%23.30%23.53%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -10.26%E -8.92%K -68.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +3.25%E +0.692%K +0.879%G +0.029% | 8.2% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.15%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.85%EV +2.59%E +0.555%K +0.706%G +0.018% | 2.7% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.05%E +0.229%K +0.293%G +0.003% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 15:58 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.14%E -6.00%K -37.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +1.05%E +0.229%K +0.293%G +0.003% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -0.264%E -0.058%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| ReBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| William Hill | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.14%E -0.254%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.34%E -0.759%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -9.48%E -8.18%K -59.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -3.34%E -0.759%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| GTbets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV -5.32%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.54%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.54%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.54%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.20%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -6.20%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.02%E -3.27%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Casumo | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| BetUS | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| betPARX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.63%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.58%E -4.61%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| TAB | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.73%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -8.83%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -8.83%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.93%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Neds | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.93%E -2.42%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Caesars | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.80%E -3.94%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-13 15:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 15:53 |
| Fanatics | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.36%E -5.30%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.13%E -3.03%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.9% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |
| Novig | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.94% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 21.06% | 3.0% | 2026-04-13 16:00 |