StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mariano Navone v Andrey Rublev

Matchstart: 2026-04-14 15:45 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mariano Navone (Hemma)

Prognos 42.76%2.34rättvist odds
EV +1.78%
Fördel +0.748%
Kelly +1.29%
Tillväxt +0.023%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.38

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.50%42.71%42.77%44.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.242.242.3847.62%44.67%44.74%42.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Andrey Rublev (Borta)

Prognos 57.24%1.75rättvist odds
EV -2.13%
Fördel -1.24%
Kelly -3.00%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.71

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
55.50%57.29%57.23%59.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.561.641.651.7164.10%60.91%60.79%58.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Mariano Navone (Hemma): 42.76%; Andrey Rublev (Borta): 57.24%. För Mariano Navone (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.34. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.38, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.78%.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +1.78%E +0.748%K +1.29%G +0.023%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 15:35
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV +0.068%E +0.029%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 15:34
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
LeoVegas🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
Bally Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.64%E -0.714%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 15:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.64%E -0.714%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -1.64%E -0.714%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 15:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.64%E -0.714%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 15:20
SportsBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -2.07%E -0.904%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -9.57%E -6.06%K -16.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -9.57%E -6.06%K -16.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 15:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -9.57%E -6.06%K -16.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 15:20
GTbets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -2.93%E -1.29%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 15:20
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.35%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.13%E -1.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-14 15:20
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 15:40
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 15:20
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 15:13
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.14%E -6.46%K -17.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 15:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -10.71%E -6.87%K -19.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 15:20
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.21%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 15:20
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.21%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 15:40
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.64%E -2.08%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.64%E -2.08%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.71%E -4.11%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 15:35
ReBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.49%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -5.49%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 15:20
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:19
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:20
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:20
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:20
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:20
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 15:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 15:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 15:20
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 15:20
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.85%E -4.88%K -12.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 15:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 15:20
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.35%E -2.90%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.84%E -2.29%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 15:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -6.35%E -2.90%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 15:20
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.70%E -1.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:19
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.84%E -2.29%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 15:40
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 15:25
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 15:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 15:20
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.34%E -4.41%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -2.70%E -1.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 15:20
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.34%E -4.41%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -2.70%E -1.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 15:20
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 15:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-04-14 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-14 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-14 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-14 15:40
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-04-14 15:25
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%1.9%2026-04-14 15:40
Novig2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%2.1%2026-04-14 15:35