L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Mariano Navone v Andrey Rublev
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Mariano Navone (Local)
Prévision 42.76%2.34cote équitable
EV +1.78%
Avantage +0.748%
Kelly +1.29%
Croissance +0.023%
avec la cote maximale 2.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.50%42.71%42.77%44.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.242.242.3847.62%44.67%44.74%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Andrey Rublev (Visiteur)
Prévision 57.24%1.75cote équitable
EV -2.13%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -3.00%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.71
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.50%57.29%57.23%59.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.641.651.7164.10%60.91%60.79%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +1.78%E +0.748%K +1.29%G +0.023% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV +0.068%E +0.029%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 15:34 |
| Unibet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Casumo | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| betPARX | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.64%E -0.714%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.64%E -0.714%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -1.64%E -0.714%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.64%E -0.714%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -2.07%E -0.904%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -9.57%E -6.06%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -9.57%E -6.06%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -9.57%E -6.06%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| GTbets | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -2.93%E -1.29%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.35%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.13%E -1.24%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 15:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 15:13 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.14%E -6.46%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -10.71%E -6.87%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.21%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.21%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 15:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.64%E -2.08%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 15:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.64%E -2.08%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.71%E -4.11%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| ReBet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.49%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 15:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -5.49%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 15:19 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Caesars | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 15:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.85%E -4.88%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.35%E -2.90%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.84%E -2.29%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -6.35%E -2.90%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.70%E -1.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 15:19 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.84%E -2.29%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 15:40 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 15:25 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 15:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.34%E -4.41%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -2.70%E -1.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.34%E -4.41%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -2.70%E -1.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 15:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70% | 0.2% | 2026-04-14 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 15:40 |
| ProphetX | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-04-14 15:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71% | 1.9% | 2026-04-14 15:40 |
| Novig | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61% | 2.1% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |