A Escola das Odds

Mariano Navone v Andrey Rublev

Início: 2026-04-14 15:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Mariano Navone (Local)

Previsão 42.76%2.34odd justa
EV +1.78%
Vantagem +0.748%
Kelly +1.29%
Crescimento +0.023%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.50%42.71%42.77%44.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.242.242.3847.62%44.67%44.74%42.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Andrey Rublev (Visitante)

Previsão 57.24%1.75odd justa
EV -2.13%
Vantagem -1.24%
Kelly -3.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.50%57.29%57.23%59.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.561.641.651.7164.10%60.91%60.79%58.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +1.78%E +0.748%K +1.29%G +0.023%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 15:35
FanDuel2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV +0.068%E +0.029%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 15:34
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.64%E -0.714%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 15:20
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.64%E -0.714%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 15:20
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -1.64%E -0.714%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 15:20
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.64%E -0.714%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 15:20
SportsBet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -2.07%E -0.904%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -9.57%E -6.06%K -16.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 15:35
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -9.57%E -6.06%K -16.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 15:20
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -9.57%E -6.06%K -16.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 15:20
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -2.93%E -1.29%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 15:20
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.35%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.13%E -1.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-14 15:20
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 15:40
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 15:20
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 15:13
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.14%E -6.46%K -17.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 15:35
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -10.71%E -6.87%K -19.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 15:20
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.21%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 15:20
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.21%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 15:40
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.64%E -2.08%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:34
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.64%E -2.08%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.71%E -4.11%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 15:35
ReBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.49%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:19
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -5.49%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 15:20
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:19
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:20
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:20
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:20
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:20
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:20
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:20
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 15:25
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 15:35
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 15:20
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 15:20
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.85%E -4.88%K -12.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 15:20
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 15:20
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.35%E -2.90%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.84%E -2.29%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 15:20
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -6.35%E -2.90%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 15:20
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.70%E -1.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:19
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.84%E -2.29%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 15:20
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 15:40
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 15:25
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 15:25
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 15:20
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.34%E -4.41%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -2.70%E -1.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 15:20
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.34%E -4.41%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -2.70%E -1.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 15:20
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 15:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-04-14 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-14 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-14 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-14 15:40
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-04-14 15:25
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%1.9%2026-04-14 15:40
Novig2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%2.1%2026-04-14 15:35