La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Mariano Navone v Andrey Rublev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mariano Navone (Local)
Predicción 42.76%2.34momio equitativo
EV +1.78%
Ventaja +0.748%
Kelly +1.29%
Crecimiento +0.023%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.50%42.71%42.77%44.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.242.242.3847.62%44.67%44.74%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Andrey Rublev (Visitante)
Predicción 57.24%1.75momio equitativo
EV -2.13%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -3.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.50%57.29%57.23%59.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.641.651.7164.10%60.91%60.79%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +1.78%E +0.748%K +1.29%G +0.023% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV +0.068%E +0.029%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 15:34 |
| Unibet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Casumo | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| betPARX | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.64%E -0.714%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.64%E -0.714%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -1.64%E -0.714%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.64%E -0.714%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -2.07%E -0.904%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -9.57%E -6.06%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -9.57%E -6.06%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -9.57%E -6.06%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| GTbets | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -2.93%E -1.29%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.35%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.13%E -1.24%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 15:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 15:13 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.14%E -6.46%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -10.71%E -6.87%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.21%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.21%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 15:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.64%E -2.08%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 15:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.64%E -2.08%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.71%E -4.11%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| ReBet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.49%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 15:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -5.49%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 15:19 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Caesars | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 15:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.85%E -4.88%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.35%E -2.90%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.84%E -2.29%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -6.35%E -2.90%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.70%E -1.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 15:19 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.84%E -2.29%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 15:40 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 15:25 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 15:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.34%E -4.41%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -2.70%E -1.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.34%E -4.41%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -2.70%E -1.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 15:20 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 15:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70% | 0.2% | 2026-04-14 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 15:40 |
| ProphetX | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-04-14 15:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71% | 1.9% | 2026-04-14 15:40 |
| Novig | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61% | 2.1% | 2026-04-14 15:35 |