Szkoła Kursów

Mariano Navone v Andrey Rublev

Początek: 2026-04-14 15:45 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Mariano Navone (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 42.76%2.34kurs godziwy
EV +1.78%
Przewaga +0.748%
Kelly +1.29%
Wzrost +0.023%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.38

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.50%42.71%42.77%44.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.242.242.3847.62%44.67%44.74%42.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Andrey Rublev (Goście)

Prognoza 57.24%1.75kurs godziwy
EV -2.13%
Przewaga -1.24%
Kelly -3.00%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.71

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.50%57.29%57.23%59.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.561.641.651.7164.10%60.91%60.79%58.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +1.78%E +0.748%K +1.29%G +0.023%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 15:35
FanDuel2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV +0.068%E +0.029%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 15:34
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.787%E -0.339%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:20
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.64%E -0.714%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 15:20
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.64%E -0.714%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 15:20
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -1.64%E -0.714%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 15:20
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.64%E -0.714%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 15:20
SportsBet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -2.07%E -0.904%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -9.57%E -6.06%K -16.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 15:35
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -9.57%E -6.06%K -16.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 15:20
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -9.57%E -6.06%K -16.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 15:20
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -2.93%E -1.29%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 15:20
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.35%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.13%E -1.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-14 15:20
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 15:40
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 15:20
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 15:13
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.14%E -6.46%K -17.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 15:35
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -10.71%E -6.87%K -19.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 15:20
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.21%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 15:20
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.21%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 15:40
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.64%E -2.08%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:34
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.64%E -2.08%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.71%E -4.11%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 15:35
ReBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.49%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:19
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -5.49%E -2.48%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 15:20
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:19
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:20
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:20
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:20
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:20
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:20
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.64%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:20
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 15:25
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 15:35
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 15:20
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 15:20
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.85%E -4.88%K -12.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 15:20
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 15:20
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.35%E -2.90%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.84%E -2.29%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 15:20
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -6.35%E -2.90%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 15:20
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.70%E -1.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 15:19
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.84%E -2.29%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 15:20
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 15:40
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 15:25
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 15:25
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 15:20
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.34%E -4.41%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -2.70%E -1.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 15:20
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.34%E -4.41%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -2.70%E -1.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 15:20
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 15:19
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-04-14 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-14 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-14 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-14 15:40
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-04-14 15:25
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%1.9%2026-04-14 15:40
Novig2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%2.1%2026-04-14 15:35