Language:English
Andrey Rublev v Arthur Fils
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Andrey Rublev (Local)
Prediction 31.90%3.14fair odd
EV +0.475%
Edge +0.151%
Kelly +0.221%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.31%31.82%32.03%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.972.973.1535.09%33.65%33.67%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Fils (Visit)
Prediction 68.10%1.47fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -6.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%68.18%67.97%69.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.391.381.4374.63%72.15%72.46%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andrey Rublev (Local): 31.90%; Arthur Fils (Visit): 68.10%. For Andrey Rublev (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.475%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +0.475%E +0.151%K +0.221%G +0.001% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 31.14%EV +0.156%E +0.050%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.86%EV -3.29%E -2.32%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.12%E -0.361%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -1.76%E -0.571%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -1.76%E -0.571%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.97%E -2.82%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 13:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.29%E -2.32%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -4.95%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -5.27%E -1.77%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.29%E -2.32%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.06%E -5.97%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -8.74%E -6.52%K -25.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -6.54%E -2.23%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.97%E -2.82%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -6.86%E -2.35%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.10%EV -7.82%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.90%EV -2.61%E -1.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 13:57 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.46%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.46%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -8.78%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.61%E -1.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.09%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.09%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.09%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82% | 0.2% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 1.7% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Novig◎ | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64% | 2.7% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |