La scuola delle quote

Andrey Rublev v Arthur Fils

Inizio: 2026-04-19 14:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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63 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Andrey Rublev (Casa)

Previsione 31.90%3.14quota equa
EV +0.475%
Vantaggio +0.151%
Kelly +0.221%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.31%31.82%32.03%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.852.972.973.1535.09%33.65%33.67%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arthur Fils (Trasferta)

Previsione 68.10%1.47quota equa
EV -2.61%
Vantaggio -1.83%
Kelly -6.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.67%68.18%67.97%69.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.341.391.381.4374.63%72.15%72.46%69.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +0.475%E +0.151%K +0.221%G +0.001%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 14:00
Pinnacle3.14I 31.85%NM 31.14%EV +0.156%E +0.050%K +0.073%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.86%EV -3.29%E -2.32%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 13:59
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.12%E -0.361%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 14:01
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -1.76%E -0.571%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 14:00
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -1.76%E -0.571%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 14:01
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.97%E -2.82%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:01
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:01
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:01
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:01
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:01
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:01
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 13:58
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.29%E -2.32%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 14:01
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 13:59
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 14:01
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 14:01
ReBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 13:59
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:00
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:01
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:00
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:01
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:00
Marathon Bet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -4.95%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 13:59
SportsBet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -5.27%E -1.77%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 14:00
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.29%E -2.32%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:01
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:01
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.06%E -5.97%K -23.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 14:01
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -8.74%E -6.52%K -25.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 14:01
Coolbet2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -6.54%E -2.23%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.97%E -2.82%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 14:00
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -6.86%E -2.35%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 14:00
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 14:00
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 14:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 13:59
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 14:00
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 13:59
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:01
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 13:59
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 14:00
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 14:01
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 13:59
GTbets2.89I 34.60%NM 33.10%EV -7.82%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.90%EV -2.61%E -1.83%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-19 14:00
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 14:00
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 13:57
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.46%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.46%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 14:00
1xBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -8.78%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.61%E -1.83%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.09%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 14:01
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.09%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 14:00
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.09%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 14:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-04-19 14:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-04-19 14:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-04-19 14:01
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-04-19 14:01
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%1.7%2026-04-19 14:01
Novig3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%2.7%2026-04-19 14:01