La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Andrey Rublev v Arthur Fils
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Andrey Rublev (Local)
Predicción 31.90%3.14momio equitativo
EV +0.475%
Ventaja +0.151%
Kelly +0.221%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.31%31.82%32.03%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.852.972.973.1535.09%33.65%33.67%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Arthur Fils (Visitante)
Predicción 68.10%1.47momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -1.83%
Kelly -6.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.67%68.18%67.97%69.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.391.381.4374.63%72.15%72.46%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +0.475%E +0.151%K +0.221%G +0.001% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.14I 31.85%NM 31.14%EV +0.156%E +0.050%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.86%EV -3.29%E -2.32%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.12%E -0.361%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -1.76%E -0.571%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -1.76%E -0.571%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.97%E -2.82%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| BetRivers | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| LeoVegas | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Casumo | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| betPARX | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Bally Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 13:58 |
| theScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.29%E -2.32%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| BetUS | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| ReBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| FanDuel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -4.95%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -5.27%E -1.77%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.29%E -2.32%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.06%E -5.97%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -8.74%E -6.52%K -25.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Coolbet | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -6.54%E -2.23%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.97%E -2.82%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -6.86%E -2.35%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Caesars | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Fliff | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| Betsson | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 13:59 |
| GTbets | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.10%EV -7.82%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.90%EV -2.61%E -1.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 13:57 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.46%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.46%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -8.78%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.61%E -1.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.09%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Neds | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.09%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.09%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82% | 0.2% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Matchbook | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 1.7% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Novig | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64% | 2.7% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |