默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Andrey Rublev v Arthur Fils

开赛时间: 2026-04-19 14:10 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Andrey Rublev (主队)

预测 31.90%3.14公平赔率
EV +0.475%
优势 +0.151%
Kelly +0.221%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布
30.31%31.82%32.03%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.852.972.973.1535.09%33.65%33.67%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

Arthur Fils (客队)

预测 68.10%1.47公平赔率
EV -2.61%
优势 -1.83%
Kelly -6.08%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.43

博彩公司预测分布
66.67%68.18%67.97%69.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.341.391.381.4374.63%72.15%72.46%69.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Andrey Rublev (主队):31.90%;Arthur Fils (客队):68.10%。 对于“Andrey Rublev (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.14。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.15,对应+0.475%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +0.475%E +0.151%K +0.221%G +0.001%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 14:00
Pinnacle🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 31.14%EV +0.156%E +0.050%K +0.073%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.86%EV -3.29%E -2.32%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 13:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.12%E -0.361%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 14:01
LowVig.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -1.76%E -0.571%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -1.76%E -0.571%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 14:01
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.97%E -2.82%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:01
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:01
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:01
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:01
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Bally Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:01
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 13:58
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.29%E -2.32%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 14:01
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 13:59
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 14:01
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 14:01
ReBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 13:59
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:00
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:01
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -4.95%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 13:59
SportsBet🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -5.27%E -1.77%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 14:00
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.29%E -2.32%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:01
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.06%E -5.97%K -23.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 14:01
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -8.74%E -6.52%K -25.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 14:01
Coolbet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -6.54%E -2.23%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.97%E -2.82%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -6.86%E -2.35%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 14:00
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 14:00
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 13:59
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 13:59
Caesars🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:01
Fliff🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 13:59
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 14:01
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 13:59
GTbets🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.10%EV -7.82%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.90%EV -2.61%E -1.83%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-19 14:00
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 14:00
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 13:57
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.46%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.46%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 14:00
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -8.78%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.61%E -1.83%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.09%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 14:01
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.09%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 14:00
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.09%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 14:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-04-19 14:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-04-19 14:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-04-19 14:01
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-04-19 14:01
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%1.7%2026-04-19 14:01
Novig3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%2.7%2026-04-19 14:01