مدرسة الاحتمالات

Andrey Rublev v Arthur Fils

البداية: 2026-04-19 14:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Andrey Rublev (المضيف)

التنبؤ 31.90%3.14السعر العادل
EV +0.475%
الأفضلية +0.151%
Kelly +0.221%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.31%31.82%32.03%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.852.972.973.1535.09%33.65%33.67%31.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arthur Fils (الضيف)

التنبؤ 68.10%1.47السعر العادل
EV -2.61%
الأفضلية -1.83%
Kelly -6.08%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
66.67%68.18%67.97%69.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.341.391.381.4374.63%72.15%72.46%69.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +0.475%E +0.151%K +0.221%G +0.001%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 14:00
Pinnacle3.14I 31.85%NM 31.14%EV +0.156%E +0.050%K +0.073%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.86%EV -3.29%E -2.32%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-19 13:59
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.12%E -0.361%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 14:01
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -1.76%E -0.571%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 14:00
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -1.76%E -0.571%K -0.845%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 14:01
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.97%E -2.82%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:01
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:01
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:01
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:01
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:01
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:01
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -2.71%E -0.890%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 13:58
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.29%E -2.32%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 14:01
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 13:59
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 14:01
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 14:01
ReBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 13:59
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:00
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:01
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:00
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:01
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:00
Marathon Bet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -4.95%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 13:59
SportsBet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -5.27%E -1.77%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 14:00
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.29%E -2.32%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:01
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.34%E -3.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:01
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.06%E -5.97%K -23.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 14:01
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -5.90%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -8.74%E -6.52%K -25.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 14:01
Coolbet2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -6.54%E -2.23%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.97%E -2.82%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 14:00
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -6.86%E -2.35%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 14:00
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 14:00
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 14:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 13:59
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 14:00
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 13:59
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:01
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 13:59
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 14:00
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 14:01
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 13:59
GTbets2.89I 34.60%NM 33.10%EV -7.82%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.90%EV -2.61%E -1.83%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-19 14:00
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 14:00
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 13:57
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.46%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 14:00
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.46%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.66%E -3.33%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 14:00
1xBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -8.78%E -3.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.61%E -1.83%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.09%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 14:01
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.09%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 14:00
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.09%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 14:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%0.2%2026-04-19 14:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-04-19 14:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-04-19 14:01
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-04-19 14:01
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%1.7%2026-04-19 14:01
Novig3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%2.7%2026-04-19 14:01