Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Switzerland v North Macedonia

2026-10-06 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Switzerland (Local)

Prediction 85.72%1.17fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -16.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.67%85.44%85.82%87.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.111.101.1494.34%90.40%90.91%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Macedonia (Visit)

Prediction 4.06%24.61fair odd
EV +30.02%
Edge +0.938%
Kelly +0.968%
Growth +0.291%

assuming max odds 32.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.96%4.24%4.04%5.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
15.0021.0120.2532.006.67%4.76%4.94%3.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 10.22%9.79fair odd
EV +4.21%
Edge +0.412%
Kelly +0.457%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 10.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.37%10.32%10.14%11.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.008.769.0010.2012.50%11.41%11.11%9.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Switzerland (Local): 85.72%; North Macedonia (Visit): 4.06%; Draw: 10.22%. For North Macedonia (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 24.61. 8 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 32.00, producing a positive expected value of +30.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.86%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%32.00I 3.13%NM 2.96%EV +30.02%E +0.938%K +0.968%G +0.291%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.18%EV -4.99%E -0.536%K -0.601%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 13:20
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.86%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%32.00I 3.13%NM 2.96%EV +30.02%E +0.938%K +0.968%G +0.291%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.18%EV -4.99%E -0.536%K -0.601%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 13:20
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.18%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.34%EV +17.83%E +0.615%K +0.637%G +0.114%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.49%EV +4.21%E +0.412%K +0.457%G +0.019%3.3%2026-10-04 12:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.11%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.30%EV +17.83%E +0.615%K +0.637%G +0.114%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +2.16%E +0.216%K +0.240%G +0.005%4.4%2026-10-04 11:55
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.24%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.68%EV +5.64%E +0.217%K +0.226%G +0.013%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.08%EV -2.94%E -0.310%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 12:00
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.24%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.68%EV +5.64%E +0.217%K +0.226%G +0.013%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.08%EV -2.94%E -0.310%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 11:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.87%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV +5.64%E +0.217%K +0.226%G +0.013%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 12:15
BoyleSports🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.46%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.62%EV +5.64%E +0.217%K +0.226%G +0.013%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.92%EV -2.94%E -0.310%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.83%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.14%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV -2.94%E -0.310%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 12:00
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.35%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.35%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.35%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 12:10
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.94%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.16%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 12:10
Bet Victor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.92%EV -9.14%E -8.62%K -152.27%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.96%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-04 12:15
betano_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.92%EV -9.14%E -8.62%K -152.27%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.96%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-04 12:15
Betway🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.14%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -14.68%E -0.699%K -0.734%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.39%EV +2.16%E +0.216%K +0.240%G +0.005%6.5%2026-10-04 12:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV -14.68%E -0.699%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:00
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV -14.68%E -0.699%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:00
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -14.68%E -0.699%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 12:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.66%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.77%G +0.000%20.50I 4.88%NM 4.46%EV -16.71%E -0.815%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.88%EV -14.18%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 12:24
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -18.74%E -0.937%K -0.986%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV +2.16%E +0.216%K +0.240%G +0.005%6.7%2026-10-04 12:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.52%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.27%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.52%EV -18.74%E -0.937%K -0.986%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.96%EV -15.72%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 12:19
ReBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.17%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.77%G +0.000%19.75I 5.06%NM 4.60%EV -19.75%E -1.00%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.22%EV -17.25%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-04 12:16
Suprabets🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.88%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.77%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.82%EV -22.80%E -1.20%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.30%EV -9.07%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-04 12:16
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -2.94%E -0.310%K -0.346%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 12:15
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -2.28%E -2.00%K -16.28%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -30.93%E -1.82%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -2.28%E -2.00%K -16.28%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -30.93%E -1.82%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 12:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -2.28%E -2.00%K -16.28%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -30.93%E -1.82%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 12:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -2.28%E -2.00%K -16.28%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -30.93%E -1.82%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 12:15
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -2.28%E -2.00%K -16.28%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -30.93%E -1.82%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 12:15
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -2.28%E -2.00%K -16.28%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -30.93%E -1.82%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 12:15
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -2.28%E -2.00%K -16.28%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -30.93%E -1.82%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 12:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -2.28%E -2.00%K -16.28%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -30.93%E -1.82%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 12:15
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -2.28%E -2.00%K -16.28%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -30.93%E -1.82%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 12:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -2.28%E -2.00%K -16.28%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -30.93%E -1.82%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 12:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -2.28%E -2.00%K -16.28%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -30.93%E -1.82%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 12:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -2.28%E -2.00%K -16.28%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -30.93%E -1.82%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 12:15
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.18%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -30.93%E -1.82%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-04 12:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.33%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.27%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.64%EV -34.99%E -2.19%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.03%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-04 12:16
Winamax (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 83.11%EV -9.14%E -8.62%K -152.27%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.87%EV -39.05%E -2.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.01%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-04 12:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.25%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.79%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.96%1.4%2026-10-04 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.25%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.79%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.96%1.4%2026-10-04 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.25%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.79%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.96%1.4%2026-10-04 12:30