Language:English
Switzerland v North Macedonia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Switzerland (Local)
Prediction 86.03%1.16fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -21.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.10%85.96%86.21%87.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.101.101.1394.34%91.27%90.91%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
North Macedonia (Visit)
Prediction 3.97%25.18fair odd
EV +50.90%
Edge +1.34%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.700%
assuming max odds 38.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.48%3.97%3.82%5.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
17.0023.3623.0038.005.88%4.28%4.35%2.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 10.00%10.00fair odd
EV +10.04%
Edge +0.913%
Kelly +1.00%
Growth +0.101%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.68%10.07%9.97%11.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.209.249.0011.0012.20%10.82%11.11%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Switzerland (Local): 86.03%; North Macedonia (Visit): 3.97%; Draw: 10.00%. For North Macedonia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 25.18. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 38.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +50.90%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.37%EV -7.09%E -6.57%K -88.66%G +0.000% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.48%EV +50.90%E +1.34%K +1.38%G +0.700% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.15%EV -6.97%E -0.749%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 09:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.37%EV -7.09%E -6.57%K -88.66%G +0.000% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.48%EV +50.90%E +1.34%K +1.38%G +0.700% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.15%EV -6.97%E -0.749%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 09:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.18%EV -4.51%E -4.06%K -41.02%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.34%EV +15.16%E +0.523%K +0.541%G +0.082% | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.49%EV +2.04%E +0.200%K +0.221%G +0.005% | 3.3% | 2026-10-04 12:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.11%EV -5.37%E -4.88%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.30%EV +15.16%E +0.523%K +0.541%G +0.082% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.036%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.20%EV -5.37%E -4.88%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV +15.16%E +0.523%K +0.541%G +0.082% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.97%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 18:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.78%EV -5.37%E -4.88%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +3.25%E +0.125%K +0.130%G +0.004% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV +0.036%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.78%EV -5.37%E -4.88%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +3.25%E +0.125%K +0.130%G +0.004% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV +0.036%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 12:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.57%EV -5.37%E -4.88%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.66%EV +3.25%E +0.125%K +0.130%G +0.004% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.77%EV -2.47%E -0.253%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 12:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.87%EV -5.37%E -4.88%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV +3.25%E +0.125%K +0.130%G +0.004% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -9.97%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.87%EV -5.37%E -4.88%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV +3.25%E +0.125%K +0.130%G +0.004% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -9.97%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 14:51 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.87%EV -5.37%E -4.88%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV +3.25%E +0.125%K +0.130%G +0.004% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -9.97%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.46%EV -6.23%E -5.72%K -69.25%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.62%EV +3.25%E +0.125%K +0.130%G +0.004% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.92%EV -4.97%E -0.523%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 12:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.34%EV -5.37%E -4.88%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV +3.25%E +0.125%K +0.130%G +0.004% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -14.97%E -1.76%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.45%EV -7.09%E -6.57%K -88.66%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69%EV -0.724%E -0.029%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -14.97%E -1.76%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.57%EV -7.95%E -7.43%K -113.61%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.66%EV -0.724%E -0.029%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -14.97%E -1.76%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.98%EV -7.09%E -6.57%K -88.66%G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.82%EV -4.70%E -0.196%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV -17.97%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 18:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.61%EV -2.79%E -2.47%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -8.67%E -0.377%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.18%EV -4.97%E -0.523%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.61%EV -2.79%E -2.47%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -8.67%E -0.377%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.18%EV -4.97%E -0.523%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-05 09:06 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.61%EV -2.79%E -2.47%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -8.67%E -0.377%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.18%EV -4.97%E -0.523%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.94%EV -5.37%E -4.88%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.11%EV -8.67%E -0.377%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -4.97%E -0.523%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 03:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.05%EV -6.23%E -5.72%K -69.25%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.08%EV -8.67%E -0.377%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -4.97%E -0.523%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 12:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.05%EV -6.23%E -5.72%K -69.25%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.08%EV -8.67%E -0.377%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -4.97%E -0.523%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 12:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.58%EV -6.23%E -5.72%K -69.25%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV -8.67%E -0.377%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -9.97%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.92%EV -8.81%E -8.31%K -146.88%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.96%EV -8.67%E -0.377%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -9.97%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-04 12:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.92%EV -8.81%E -8.31%K -146.88%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.96%EV -8.67%E -0.377%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -9.97%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-04 12:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.78%EV -5.37%E -4.88%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -16.61%E -0.791%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +10.04%E +0.913%K +1.00%G +0.101% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.03%EV -5.37%E -4.88%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV -16.61%E -0.791%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV +0.036%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -4.51%E -4.06%K -41.02%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV -16.61%E -0.791%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -9.97%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -4.51%E -4.06%K -41.02%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV -16.61%E -0.791%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -9.97%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -4.51%E -4.06%K -41.02%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV -16.61%E -0.791%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -9.97%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 09:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -4.51%E -4.06%K -41.02%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV -16.61%E -0.791%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -9.97%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.14%EV -6.23%E -5.72%K -69.25%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -16.61%E -0.791%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.39%EV +0.036%E +0.004%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 14:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.09%E -6.57%K -88.66%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV -16.61%E -0.791%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +5.04%E +0.480%K +0.530%G +0.027% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 05:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.53%EV -6.23%E -5.72%K -69.25%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV -20.58%E -1.03%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -4.97%E -0.523%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 18:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.75%EV -7.95%E -7.43%K -113.61%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.59%EV -20.58%E -1.03%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -4.97%E -0.523%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 05:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.10%EV -4.51%E -4.06%K -41.02%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -24.55%E -1.29%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -14.97%E -1.76%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 08:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.10%EV -4.51%E -4.06%K -41.02%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV -24.55%E -1.29%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -14.97%E -1.76%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 07:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.22%EV -5.37%E -4.88%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -24.55%E -1.29%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -14.97%E -1.76%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.22%EV -5.37%E -4.88%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -24.55%E -1.29%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -14.97%E -1.76%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.22%EV -5.37%E -4.88%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -24.55%E -1.29%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -14.97%E -1.76%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 09:06 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.35%EV -6.23%E -5.72%K -69.25%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -24.55%E -1.29%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -14.97%E -1.76%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 09:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.88%EV -7.09%E -6.57%K -88.66%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.82%EV -24.55%E -1.29%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.30%EV -10.97%E -1.23%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 12:16 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.09%EV -6.23%E -5.72%K -69.25%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.15%EV -28.52%E -1.58%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -4.97%E -0.523%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-04 20:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -6.23%E -5.72%K -69.25%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV -32.49%E -1.91%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -9.97%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 09:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.96% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.08% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.96% | 1.5% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.96% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.08% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.96% | 1.5% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.96% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.08% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.96% | 1.5% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |