Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Switzerland v North Macedonia

2026-10-06 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Switzerland (Local)

Prévision 85.72%1.17cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -2.78%
Kelly -24.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.05%85.47%85.82%87.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.061.101.101.1394.34%90.66%90.91%88.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

North Macedonia (Visiteur)

Prévision 4.06%24.61cote équitable
EV +30.02%
Avantage +0.938%
Kelly +0.968%
Croissance +0.291%

avec la cote maximale 32.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
2.96%4.21%4.04%5.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
15.0021.3720.2532.006.67%4.68%4.94%3.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 10.22%9.79cote équitable
EV +4.21%
Avantage +0.412%
Kelly +0.457%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 10.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.37%10.32%10.14%11.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.008.779.0010.2012.50%11.40%11.11%9.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Switzerland (Local) : 85.72% ; North Macedonia (Visiteur) : 4.06% ; Match nul : 10.22%. Pour North Macedonia (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 24.61. 8 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 32.00, pour une espérance positive de +30.02%.

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.86%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%32.00I 3.13%NM 2.96%EV +30.02%E +0.938%K +0.968%G +0.291%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.18%EV -4.99%E -0.536%K -0.601%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 13:20
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.86%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%32.00I 3.13%NM 2.96%EV +30.02%E +0.938%K +0.968%G +0.291%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.18%EV -4.99%E -0.536%K -0.601%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 13:20
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.18%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.34%EV +17.83%E +0.615%K +0.637%G +0.114%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.49%EV +4.21%E +0.412%K +0.457%G +0.019%3.3%2026-10-04 12:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.11%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.30%EV +17.83%E +0.615%K +0.637%G +0.114%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +2.16%E +0.216%K +0.240%G +0.005%4.4%2026-10-04 11:55
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.24%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.68%EV +5.64%E +0.217%K +0.226%G +0.013%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.08%EV -2.94%E -0.310%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 12:00
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.24%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.68%EV +5.64%E +0.217%K +0.226%G +0.013%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.08%EV -2.94%E -0.310%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 11:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.87%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV +5.64%E +0.217%K +0.226%G +0.013%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 12:15
BoyleSports🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.46%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.62%EV +5.64%E +0.217%K +0.226%G +0.013%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.92%EV -2.94%E -0.310%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.83%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.14%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV -2.94%E -0.310%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 12:00
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.35%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.35%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.35%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 12:10
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.94%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.16%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 12:10
Bet Victor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.92%EV -9.14%E -8.62%K -152.27%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.96%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-04 12:15
betano_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.92%EV -9.14%E -8.62%K -152.27%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.96%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-04 12:15
Betway🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.14%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -14.68%E -0.699%K -0.734%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.39%EV +2.16%E +0.216%K +0.240%G +0.005%6.5%2026-10-04 12:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV -14.68%E -0.699%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:00
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV -14.68%E -0.699%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:00
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -14.68%E -0.699%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 12:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.66%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.77%G +0.000%20.50I 4.88%NM 4.46%EV -16.71%E -0.815%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.88%EV -14.18%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 12:24
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -18.74%E -0.937%K -0.986%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV +2.16%E +0.216%K +0.240%G +0.005%6.7%2026-10-04 12:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.52%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.27%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.52%EV -18.74%E -0.937%K -0.986%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.96%EV -15.72%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 12:19
ReBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.17%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.77%G +0.000%19.75I 5.06%NM 4.60%EV -19.75%E -1.00%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.22%EV -17.25%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-04 12:16
betfred_uk🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.35%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -22.80%E -1.20%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -13.16%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 13:55
Suprabets🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.88%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.77%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.82%EV -22.80%E -1.20%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.30%EV -9.07%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-04 12:16
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.17%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.08%EV -24.83%E -1.34%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.75%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 13:51
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:51
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:51
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:51
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -2.94%E -0.310%K -0.346%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 12:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.33%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.27%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.64%EV -34.99%E -2.19%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.03%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-04 12:16
Winamax (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 83.11%EV -9.14%E -8.62%K -152.27%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.87%EV -39.05%E -2.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.01%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-04 12:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.25%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.79%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.96%1.4%2026-10-04 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.25%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.79%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.96%1.4%2026-10-04 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.25%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.79%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.96%1.4%2026-10-04 12:30