StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Switzerland v North Macedonia

2026-10-06 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Direkter Vergleich

40 Wettanbieter (12 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Switzerland (Heim)

Prognose 85.72%1.17faire Quote
EV -3.14%
Vorteil -2.78%
Kelly -24.12%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.13

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
83.05%85.47%85.82%87.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.061.101.101.1394.34%90.66%90.91%88.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

North Macedonia (Auswärts)

Prognose 4.06%24.61faire Quote
EV +30.02%
Vorteil +0.938%
Kelly +0.968%
Wachstum +0.291%

bei einer Höchstquote von 32.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
2.96%4.21%4.04%5.87%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
15.0021.3720.2532.006.67%4.68%4.94%3.13%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 10.22%9.79faire Quote
EV +4.21%
Vorteil +0.412%
Kelly +0.457%
Wachstum +0.019%

bei einer Höchstquote von 10.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
9.37%10.32%10.14%11.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
8.008.779.0010.2012.50%11.40%11.11%9.80%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Switzerland (Heim): 85.72%; North Macedonia (Auswärts): 4.06%; Unentschieden: 10.22%. Für North Macedonia (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 24.61. 8 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 32.00 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +30.02%.

Wettanbieterquoten (40 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.86%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%32.00I 3.13%NM 2.96%EV +30.02%E +0.938%K +0.968%G +0.291%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.18%EV -4.99%E -0.536%K -0.601%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 13:20
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.86%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%32.00I 3.13%NM 2.96%EV +30.02%E +0.938%K +0.968%G +0.291%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.18%EV -4.99%E -0.536%K -0.601%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 13:20
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.18%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.34%EV +17.83%E +0.615%K +0.637%G +0.114%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.49%EV +4.21%E +0.412%K +0.457%G +0.019%3.3%2026-10-04 12:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.11%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.30%EV +17.83%E +0.615%K +0.637%G +0.114%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +2.16%E +0.216%K +0.240%G +0.005%4.4%2026-10-04 11:55
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.24%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.68%EV +5.64%E +0.217%K +0.226%G +0.013%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.08%EV -2.94%E -0.310%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 12:00
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.24%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.68%EV +5.64%E +0.217%K +0.226%G +0.013%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.08%EV -2.94%E -0.310%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 11:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.87%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV +5.64%E +0.217%K +0.226%G +0.013%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 12:15
BoyleSports🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.46%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.62%EV +5.64%E +0.217%K +0.226%G +0.013%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.92%EV -2.94%E -0.310%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.83%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.14%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV -2.94%E -0.310%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 12:00
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.35%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.35%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.35%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 12:10
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.94%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.16%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 12:10
Bet Victor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.92%EV -9.14%E -8.62%K -152.27%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.96%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-04 12:15
betano_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.92%EV -9.14%E -8.62%K -152.27%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.96%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-04 12:15
Betway🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.14%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -14.68%E -0.699%K -0.734%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.39%EV +2.16%E +0.216%K +0.240%G +0.005%6.5%2026-10-04 12:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV -14.68%E -0.699%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:00
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV -14.68%E -0.699%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:00
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -14.68%E -0.699%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 12:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.66%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.77%G +0.000%20.50I 4.88%NM 4.46%EV -16.71%E -0.815%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.88%EV -14.18%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 12:24
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -18.74%E -0.937%K -0.986%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV +2.16%E +0.216%K +0.240%G +0.005%6.7%2026-10-04 12:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.52%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.27%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.52%EV -18.74%E -0.937%K -0.986%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.96%EV -15.72%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 12:19
ReBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.17%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.77%G +0.000%19.75I 5.06%NM 4.60%EV -19.75%E -1.00%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.22%EV -17.25%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-04 12:16
betfred_uk🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.35%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -22.80%E -1.20%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -13.16%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 13:55
Suprabets🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.88%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.77%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.82%EV -22.80%E -1.20%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.30%EV -9.07%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-04 12:16
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.17%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.08%EV -24.83%E -1.34%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.75%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 13:51
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:51
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:51
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:51
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -2.94%E -0.310%K -0.346%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 12:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.33%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.27%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.64%EV -34.99%E -2.19%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.03%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-04 12:16
Winamax (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 83.11%EV -9.14%E -8.62%K -152.27%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.87%EV -39.05%E -2.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.01%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-04 12:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (3)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.25%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.79%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.96%1.4%2026-10-04 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.25%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.79%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.96%1.4%2026-10-04 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.25%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.79%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.96%1.4%2026-10-04 12:30