StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Switzerland v North Macedonia

2026-10-06 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Matchresultat

40 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Switzerland (Hemma)

Prognos 85.72%1.17rättvist odds
EV -3.14%
Fördel -2.78%
Kelly -24.12%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.13

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
83.05%85.47%85.82%87.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.061.101.101.1394.34%90.66%90.91%88.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

North Macedonia (Borta)

Prognos 4.06%24.61rättvist odds
EV +30.02%
Fördel +0.938%
Kelly +0.968%
Tillväxt +0.291%

med antagandet om högsta odds 32.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
2.96%4.21%4.04%5.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
15.0021.3720.2532.006.67%4.68%4.94%3.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 10.22%9.79rättvist odds
EV +4.21%
Fördel +0.412%
Kelly +0.457%
Tillväxt +0.019%

med antagandet om högsta odds 10.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
9.37%10.32%10.14%11.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
8.008.779.0010.2012.50%11.40%11.11%9.80%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Switzerland (Hemma): 85.72%; North Macedonia (Borta): 4.06%; Oavgjort: 10.22%. För North Macedonia (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 24.61. 8 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 32.00, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +30.02%.

Spelbolagsodds (40 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.86%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%32.00I 3.13%NM 2.96%EV +30.02%E +0.938%K +0.968%G +0.291%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.18%EV -4.99%E -0.536%K -0.601%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 13:20
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.86%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%32.00I 3.13%NM 2.96%EV +30.02%E +0.938%K +0.968%G +0.291%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.18%EV -4.99%E -0.536%K -0.601%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 13:20
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.18%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.34%EV +17.83%E +0.615%K +0.637%G +0.114%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.49%EV +4.21%E +0.412%K +0.457%G +0.019%3.3%2026-10-04 12:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.11%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.30%EV +17.83%E +0.615%K +0.637%G +0.114%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +2.16%E +0.216%K +0.240%G +0.005%4.4%2026-10-04 11:55
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.24%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.68%EV +5.64%E +0.217%K +0.226%G +0.013%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.08%EV -2.94%E -0.310%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 12:00
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.24%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.68%EV +5.64%E +0.217%K +0.226%G +0.013%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.08%EV -2.94%E -0.310%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 11:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.87%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV +5.64%E +0.217%K +0.226%G +0.013%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 12:15
BoyleSports🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.46%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.62%EV +5.64%E +0.217%K +0.226%G +0.013%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.92%EV -2.94%E -0.310%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.83%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.14%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV -2.94%E -0.310%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 12:00
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.35%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.35%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.35%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.09%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 12:10
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.94%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.06%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.16%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 12:10
Bet Victor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.92%EV -9.14%E -8.62%K -152.27%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.96%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-04 12:15
betano_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.92%EV -9.14%E -8.62%K -152.27%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.96%EV -6.55%E -0.285%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-04 12:15
Betway🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.14%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -14.68%E -0.699%K -0.734%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.39%EV +2.16%E +0.216%K +0.240%G +0.005%6.5%2026-10-04 12:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV -14.68%E -0.699%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:00
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV -14.68%E -0.699%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 12:00
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -14.68%E -0.699%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 12:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.66%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.77%G +0.000%20.50I 4.88%NM 4.46%EV -16.71%E -0.815%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.88%EV -14.18%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 12:24
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -18.74%E -0.937%K -0.986%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV +2.16%E +0.216%K +0.240%G +0.005%6.7%2026-10-04 12:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.52%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.27%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.52%EV -18.74%E -0.937%K -0.986%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.96%EV -15.72%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-04 12:19
ReBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.17%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.77%G +0.000%19.75I 5.06%NM 4.60%EV -19.75%E -1.00%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.22%EV -17.25%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-04 12:16
betfred_uk🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.35%EV -6.56%E -6.02%K -72.94%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -22.80%E -1.20%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -13.16%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 13:55
Suprabets🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.88%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.77%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.82%EV -22.80%E -1.20%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.30%EV -9.07%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-04 12:16
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.17%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.08%EV -24.83%E -1.34%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.75%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 13:51
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:51
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:51
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.12%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 13:51
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.07%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -26.86%E -1.49%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -2.94%E -0.310%K -0.346%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 12:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.33%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.27%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.64%EV -34.99%E -2.19%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.03%EV -8.05%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-04 12:16
Winamax (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 83.11%EV -9.14%E -8.62%K -152.27%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.87%EV -39.05%E -2.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.01%EV -18.27%E -2.28%K -2.61%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-04 12:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.25%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.79%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.96%1.4%2026-10-04 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.25%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.79%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.96%1.4%2026-10-04 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.25%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.79%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.96%1.4%2026-10-04 12:30